Cox ABG Group (COXG) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · ES · Market cap €1.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −5.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 29% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from €10.84 (bear) to €18.07 (bull), base €14.46. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 29/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (21 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range €8.00 – €14.35 · fair‑value band €10.84 – €18.07 · the €11.20 price screens below the €14.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Cox ABG Group (COXG) currently trades at €11.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.46, implying the stock looks roughly 29.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Net debt stands at €371M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €10.84 (bear case) to €18.07 (bull case); at €11.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 29%, COXG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€35.14) versus Asset-Based (€2.41). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates an utilities company in South America, Mexico, Europe, Africa, Spain, Latin America, and internationally. It engages in the desalination, purification, reutilization, treatment, and integrated water resource management business.
Full company description
Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates an utilities company in South America, Mexico, Europe, Africa, Spain, Latin America, and internationally. It engages in the desalination, purification, reutilization, treatment, and integrated water resource management business. The company also generates and transmits renewable energy, such as photovoltaics, solar thermal, and biofuels. Cox ABG Group, S.A. offers engineering, procurement, operations, and maintenance services. Cox ABG Group, S.A. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Seville, Spain. Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones Riquelme Vives, S.L.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cox ABG Group reported revenue of €1.1B in FY2025 versus €12.6M in FY2021, a compound +208.6%/yr. Reported net income was €68.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.69 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.54 | -11% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €56.80 | €66.19 | +17% |
| BEP BEP | $34.23 | $70.40 | +106% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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