Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Cox ABG Group SA €14.46, price €12.40, upside +16.6%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range €8.00 – €14.35 · fair‑value band €8.99 – €18.07 · the €12.40 price screens below the €14.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates an utilities company in South America, Mexico, Europe, Africa, Spain, Latin America, and internationally. It engages in the desalination, purification, reutilization, treatment, and integrated water resource management business.
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Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates an utilities company in South America, Mexico, Europe, Africa, Spain, Latin America, and internationally. It engages in the desalination, purification, reutilization, treatment, and integrated water resource management business. The company also generates and transmits renewable energy, such as photovoltaics, solar thermal, and biofuels. Cox ABG Group, S.A. offers engineering, procurement, operations, and maintenance services. Cox ABG Group, S.A. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Seville, Spain. Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones Riquelme Vives, S.L.
Stock analysis
Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) currently trades at €12.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.46, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €45.56 per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the €12.40 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.41, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €8.99 (bear) to €18.07 (bull), the price of €12.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cox ABG Group SA reported revenue of €1.1B in FY2025 versus €12.6M in FY2021, a compound +208.6%/yr. Reported net income was €68.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €1.1B · P/E ratio 15.5 · P/S ratio 0.93 · EPS (TTM) €0.8000 · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 19.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 15.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 17%, COXG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €8.99Fair Value €14.46Bull €18.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.5962 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+62.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+199.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−24.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−84% → 13%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 205 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+16.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)15.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth56.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cox ABG Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COXG
Frequently asked questions
Is Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €14.46 versus a price of €12.40, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COXG?
Our model-based fair value for Cox ABG Group SA is €14.46 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €12.40.
What is the quality score of COXG?
Cox ABG Group SA has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €14.46 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €8.99, optimistic scenario €18.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cox ABG Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €14.46, about +17% upside versus a price of €12.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €8.99, optimistic scenario €18.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Cox ABG Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cox ABG Group SA it is €14.46 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of €12.40. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cox ABG Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, COXG trades below its calculated fair value: price €12.40, fair value €14.46, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COXG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€12.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€14.46). For Cox ABG Group SA the two are €2.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cox ABG Group SA worth?
The market values Cox ABG Group SA at about €1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is €12.40; our models calculate a fair value of €14.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COXG?
Our models span a range for Cox ABG Group SA: cautious scenario €8.99, base €14.46, optimistic €18.07 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price €12.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COXG?
Cox ABG Group SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €14.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cox ABG Group SA (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 19.8%, debt of 1.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COXG from its 52-week high?
Cox ABG Group SA trades at €12.40, about 14% below its 52-week high of €14.35 and 37% above the low of €9.06 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €14.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cox ABG Group SA?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cox ABG Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price €12.40, calculated fair value €14.46 (+17%), Quality Score 29/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COXG calculated?
We run Cox ABG Group SA through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €14.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Cox ABG Group SA currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was €12.40. Our model-based fair value is €14.46, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cox ABG Group SA right now?
A fairly wide model range (€8.99 to €18.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Cox ABG Group SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The market capitalisation of Cox ABG Group SA is €1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cox ABG Group SA is 0.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Earnings per share at Cox ABG Group SA are €0.8000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The net margin of Cox ABG Group SA is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cox ABG Group SA is 19.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cox ABG Group SA is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The operating margin of Cox ABG Group SA is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Revenue at Cox ABG Group SA is growing +56.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +199%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Earnings per share at Cox ABG Group SA are growing +11.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) generate?
The free cash flow of Cox ABG Group SA is −€93.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) carry?
The net debt of Cox ABG Group SA is €371M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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