Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cox ABG Group SA stock €14.46, price €11.00, upside +31.5%, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
24‑month range €8.00 – €14.35 · fair‑value band €8.99 – €18.08 · the €11.00 price screens below the €14.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates an utilities company in South America, Mexico, Europe, Africa, Spain, Latin America, and internationally. It engages in the desalination, purification, reutilization, treatment, and integrated water resource management business.
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The company also generates and transmits renewable energy, such as photovoltaics, solar thermal, and biofuels. Cox ABG Group, S.A. offers engineering, procurement, operations, and maintenance services. Cox ABG Group, S.A. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Seville, Spain.
Cox ABG Group, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones Riquelme Vives, S.L.
Stock analysis
Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) currently trades at €11.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €14.46, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €35.14 per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the €11.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.82, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €8.99 (bear) to €18.08 (bull), the price of €11.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cox ABG Group SA reported revenue of €1.1B in FY2025 versus €12.6M in FY2021, a compound +208.6%/yr. Reported net income was €68.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €933M Small · P/E ratio 13.7 · P/S ratio 0.82 · EPS (TTM) €0.8035 · Net margin −3.5% · Return on equity −16.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at 32%, COXG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€8.99Fair Value €14.46Bull€18.08
Price €11.00 · Upside +31.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+62.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+199.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−24.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−84% → 13%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 215 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+31.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets4.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)−3.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)72.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cox ABG Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COXG
Frequently asked questions
Is Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €14.46 versus a price of €11.00, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COXG?
Our model-based fair value for Cox ABG Group SA is €14.46 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.00.
What is the quality score of COXG?
Cox ABG Group SA has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €14.46 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €8.99, optimistic scenario €18.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cox ABG Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €14.46, about +32% upside versus a price of €11.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €8.99, optimistic scenario €18.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Cox ABG Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cox ABG Group SA it is €14.46 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of €11.00. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Cox ABG Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, COXG trades below its calculated fair value: price €11.00, fair value €14.46, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COXG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€14.46). For Cox ABG Group SA the two are €3.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cox ABG Group SA worth?
The market values Cox ABG Group SA at about €933M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is €11.00; our models calculate a fair value of €14.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COXG?
Our models span a range for Cox ABG Group SA: cautious scenario €8.99, base €14.46, optimistic €18.08 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price €11.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COXG?
Cox ABG Group SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €14.46 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 11.3 (reported 13.7). Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 5.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cox ABG Group SA (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity −16.5%, debt of 1.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COXG from its 52-week high?
Cox ABG Group SA trades at €11.00, about 23% below its 52-week high of €14.35 and 21% above the low of €9.06 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €14.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cox ABG Group SA?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cox ABG Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price €11.00, calculated fair value €14.46 (+32%), Quality Score 30/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COXG calculated?
We run Cox ABG Group SA through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €14.46 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Cox ABG Group SA currently trades 24% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was €11.00. Our model-based fair value is €14.46, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cox ABG Group SA right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. A fairly wide model range (€8.99 to €18.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Cox ABG Group SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The market capitalisation of Cox ABG Group SA is €933M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cox ABG Group SA is 0.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Earnings per share at Cox ABG Group SA are €0.8035 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The net margin of Cox ABG Group SA is −3.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cox ABG Group SA is −16.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cox ABG Group SA is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
The operating margin of Cox ABG Group SA is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Revenue at Cox ABG Group SA is growing +72.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +199%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cox ABG Group SA (COXG)?
Earnings per share at Cox ABG Group SA are growing +11.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) generate?
The free cash flow of Cox ABG Group SA is −€93.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cox ABG Group SA (COXG) carry?
The net debt of Cox ABG Group SA is €371M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 11, 2026