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Central Plains Bancshares, Inc (CPBI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $78.4M

CP Central Plains Bancshares, Inc logo Central Plains Bancshares, Inc CPBI · US
Price$20.61
Fair Value$9.61
Upside-53.4%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: Medium Range $7.20 – $12.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($12.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$21.00 $9.00 Fair Value $9.61 Oct 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

34‑month range $9.00 – $21.00 · fair‑value band $7.20 – $12.00 · the $20.61 price screens above the $9.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Central Plains Bancshares, Inc (CPBI) currently trades at $20.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.61, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Central Plains Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $20.8M at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $28.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.20 (bear case) to $12.00 (bull case); at $20.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -53%, CPBI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $8.47 $11.30 $14.12 63
Residual Income $13.40 $12.84 $10.32 61
P/B Multiple $11.08 $14.77 $18.46 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.47 $11.30 $14.12 63
P/B Multiple $11.08 $14.77 $18.46 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.91 $13.28 $19.82 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.40 $12.84 $10.32 61

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($13.28) versus Multiples ($11.30). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $20.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.5%
Net margin 18.7%
Return on equity 4.6%
Free cash flow −$3.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.1
More key figures
Operating margin 27.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.03
EPS growth (YoY) +25.2%
Net cash $28.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Home Federal Savings and Loan Association of Grand Island that operates as a federally chartered stock savings and loan association in Nebraska, the United States. It offers checking and savings accounts and certificates of deposit.

Full company description

Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Home Federal Savings and Loan Association of Grand Island that operates as a federally chartered stock savings and loan association in Nebraska, the United States. It offers checking and savings accounts and certificates of deposit. The company also provides one- to four-family residential mortgage loans secured by properties, commercial non-real estate loans, multi-family residential real estate loans, construction and land development loans, and agricultural real estate and non-real estate loans, as well as consumer loans, such as dental implant loans, automobile loans, energy loans, student loans, recreation vehicle loans, boat loans, and unsecured preferred lines of credit. In addition, it offers automated teller machines and electronic banking services, including mobile banking, on-line banking and bill pay, and electronic funds transfer. The company was founded in 1935 and is based in Grand Island, Nebraska.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Central Plains Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $27.3M in FY2025 versus $15.7M in FY2022, a compound +20.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.7M in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$27.3M
Latest YoY
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.3%
Revenue +20.3%/yr
FY22 $15.7M
FY23 $18.4M
FY24 $23.8M
FY25 $27.3M
Net income +5.1%/yr
FY22 $3.1M
FY23 $1.6M
FY24 $3.8M
FY25 $3.7M

CPBI screens 53% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Plains Bancshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPBI

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −53% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Below median
Revenue growth 18% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.77× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 88 · sector 44
PAST 18 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Central Plains Bancshares, Inc (CPBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.61 versus a price of $20.61, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPBI?
Our model-based fair value for Central Plains Bancshares, Inc is $9.61 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $20.61.
What is the quality score of CPBI?
Central Plains Bancshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Central Plains Bancshares, Inc (CPBI)?
Central Plains Bancshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPBI?
The net profit margin of Central Plains Bancshares, Inc is about 18.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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