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CPS Technologies Corporation (CPSH) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $128M

CT CPS Technologies Corporation logo CPS Technologies Corporation CPSH · US
Price$4.28
Fair Value$0.6100
Upside-85.8%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.4600 – $0.7600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.4400 to $0.6100 (+38.6%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −7.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.59 $1.30 Fair Value $0.6100 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.30 – $11.59 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $0.7600 · the $4.28 price screens above the $0.6100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CPS Technologies Corporation (CPSH) currently trades at $4.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6100, implying the stock looks roughly 85.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CPS Technologies Corporation generated revenue of $32.1M at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $4.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4600 (bear case) to $0.7600 (bull case); at $4.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -86%, CPSH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $0.8000 $0.7200 $0.4800 76
ROIC Compounder $0.3100 $0.3200 $0.3300 72
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3800 $0.5400 $0.7000 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.3500 $0.4000 $0.4600 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.1500 $0.5000 $0.6700 54
Lynch FV $0.1100 $0.1600 $0.2100 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.1100 $0.1600 $0.2100 46
EPV $0.3100 $0.3200 $0.3300 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4600 $0.6100 $0.7600 63
P/S Multiple $0.2800 $0.3700 $0.4600 58
P/B Multiple $0.2800 $0.3700 $0.4600 55
EV/EBIT $0.6500 $0.7800 $0.9200 53
EV/EBITDA $0.9600 $1.21 $1.45 54
EV/Revenue $0.4400 $0.5300 $0.6200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6400 $0.8600 $1.28 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.8000 $0.7200 $0.4800 76
ROIC Compounder $0.3100 $0.3200 $0.3300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3800 $0.5400 $0.7000 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.8600) versus Earnings-Based ($0.1600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $32.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.4%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 0.2%
Free cash flow −$513K FY2025
Operating margin -7.4%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -48.0%
Net cash $4.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CPS Technologies Corporation produces and sells advanced material solutions to the transportation, automotive, energy, computing/internet, telecommunication, aerospace, defense, and oil and gas markets in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

CPS Technologies Corporation produces and sells advanced material solutions to the transportation, automotive, energy, computing/internet, telecommunication, aerospace, defense, and oil and gas markets in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers metal matrix composites, such as baseplates for various applications, including motor controllers used in electric trains, subway cars, wind turbines, hybrid and electric vehicles, and transmission of high voltage direct current; hermetic packages for use in radar, satellite, and avionics applications; baseplates and housings used in modules built with wide band gap semiconductors; and lids and heat spreaders for use in internet switches and routers. It also assembles housings and packages, which includes metal matrix composite components for hybrid circuits; and produces armor for naval and military applications under the HybridTech brand. The company sells its products to microelectronics systems companies. The company was formerly known as Ceramics Process Systems Corporation and changed its name to CPS Technologies Corporation in March 2007. CPS Technologies Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Norton, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CPS Technologies Corporation reported revenue of $32.6M in FY2025 versus $22.4M in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was $420K in FY2025, compounding −39.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$32.6M
Latest YoY
+54.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Revenue +9.8%/yr
FY21 $22.4M
FY22 $26.6M
FY23 $27.6M
FY24 $21.1M
FY25 $32.6M
Net income −39.9%/yr
FY21 $3.2M
FY22 $2.1M
FY23 $1.4M
FY24 −$3.1M
FY25 $420K
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.4 pp

of which total revenue +3.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin −1.4 pp
Tax rate −1.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CPSH screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CPS Technologies Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPSH

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 647 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.99× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 36
PAST 1 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,790 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥143.23 ¥36.30 -75%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥385.80 ¥125.52 -67%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$238.60 HK$75.68 -68%
Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 HK$38.70 HK$8.95 -77%
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,910 TWD 1,369 TWD -53%
Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 1,215 TWD 1,768 TWD +46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CPS Technologies Corporation (CPSH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6100 versus a price of $4.28, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPSH?
Our model-based fair value for CPS Technologies Corporation is $0.6100 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.28.
What is the quality score of CPSH?
CPS Technologies Corporation has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CPS Technologies Corporation (CPSH)?
CPS Technologies Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPSH?
The net profit margin of CPS Technologies Corporation is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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