Cps Technologies (CPSH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Cps Technologies $0.54, price $3.85, upside -86.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $0.5400 · Strongly overvalued (−86.0%)
!Quality 56/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +9.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(2/10)
!Narrow moat22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.30 – $11.59 · fair‑value band $0.3800 – $0.7000 · the $3.85 price screens above the $0.5400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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CPS Technologies Corporation produces and sells advanced material solutions to the transportation, automotive, energy, computing/internet, telecommunication, aerospace, defense, and oil and gas markets in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.
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CPS Technologies Corporation produces and sells advanced material solutions to the transportation, automotive, energy, computing/internet, telecommunication, aerospace, defense, and oil and gas markets in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers metal matrix composites, such as baseplates for various applications, including motor controllers used in electric trains, subway cars, wind turbines, hybrid and electric vehicles, and transmission of high voltage direct current; hermetic packages for use in radar, satellite, and avionics applications; baseplates and housings used in modules built with wide band gap semiconductors; and lids and heat spreaders for use in internet switches and routers. It also assembles housings and packages, which includes metal matrix composite components for hybrid circuits; and produces armor for naval and military applications under the HybridTech brand. The company sells its products to microelectronics systems companies. The company was formerly known as Ceramics Process Systems Corporation and changed its name to CPS Technologies Corporation in March 2007. CPS Technologies Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Norton, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
Cps Technologies (CPSH) currently trades at $3.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5400, implying the stock looks roughly 612.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.8600 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $3.85 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1600, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.3800 (bear) to $0.7000 (bull), the price of $3.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Cps Technologies reported revenue of $32.6M in FY2025 versus $22.4M in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was $420K in FY2025, compounding −39.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $128M · P/S ratio 3.99 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin −7.4% · Revenue (TTM) $32.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −86%, CPSH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3800Fair Value $0.5400Bull $0.7000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+54.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.6% vs −6.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 1%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 650 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−86.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.2% · Below median
Return on assets−0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−7.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/B5.20× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.99× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cps Technologies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPSH
Frequently asked questions
Is Cps Technologies (CPSH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5400 versus a price of $3.85, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPSH?
Our model-based fair value for Cps Technologies is $0.5400 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.85.
What is the quality score of CPSH?
Cps Technologies has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5400 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3800, optimistic scenario $0.7000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cps Technologies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5400, about −86% upside versus a price of $3.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3800, optimistic scenario $0.7000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Cps Technologies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cps Technologies it is $0.5400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $3.85. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cps Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CPSH trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.85, fair value $0.5400, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPSH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5400). For Cps Technologies the two are $3.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cps Technologies worth?
The market values Cps Technologies at about $128M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $3.85; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPSH?
Our models span a range for Cps Technologies: cautious scenario $0.3800, base $0.5400, optimistic $0.7000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $3.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cps Technologies (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPSH from its 52-week high?
Cps Technologies trades at $3.85, about 67% below its 52-week high of $11.59 and 27% above the low of $3.04 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cps Technologies?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cps Technologies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $3.85, calculated fair value $0.5400 (−86%), Quality Score 56/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPSH calculated?
We run Cps Technologies through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cps Technologies itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $3.85. Our model-based fair value is $0.5400, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cps Technologies right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.3800 to $0.7000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Cps Technologies (CPSH) come from?
Earnings per share at Cps Technologies grew +1.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin −1.4 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Cps Technologies
How large is the market capitalisation of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The market capitalisation of Cps Technologies is $128M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cps Technologies is 3.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The net margin of Cps Technologies is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cps Technologies is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cps Technologies is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The operating margin of Cps Technologies is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Revenue at Cps Technologies is growing −6.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Earnings per share at Cps Technologies are growing −48.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cps Technologies (CPSH) generate?
The free cash flow of Cps Technologies is −$513K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cps Technologies (CPSH) hold?
Cps Technologies holds more cash than debt, $4.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026