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Cps Technologies (CPSH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cps Technologies stock $0.46, price $4.27, that is 89.3% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US · ISIN US12619F1049

CT Cps Technologies logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

Cps Technologies

CPSH · US

Far too expensive (fair value 89% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Rising price (uptrend) 
Low debt 
Profit last quarter +79% vs. a year ago. 
Quality 44/100 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.3 %/yr in USD) 
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM) 
Fair value $0.4590 · Strongly overvalued 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/11) 
Narrow moat 27/100
Thin data 
Extreme value⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$11.59 $1.30 Fair Value $0.4590 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.30 – $11.59 · fair‑value band $0.3230 – $0.5950 · the $4.27 price screens above the $0.4590 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

CPS Technologies Corporation produces and sells advanced material solutions to the transportation, automotive, energy, computing/internet, telecommunication, aerospace, defense, and oil and gas markets in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.

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The company offers metal matrix composites, such as baseplates for various applications, including motor controllers used in electric trains, subway cars, wind turbines, hybrid and electric vehicles, and transmission of high voltage direct current; hermetic packages for use in radar, satellite, and avionics applications; baseplates and housings used in modules built with wide band gap semiconductors; and lids and heat spreaders for use in internet switches and routers.

It also assembles housings and packages, which includes metal matrix composite components for hybrid circuits; and produces armor for naval and military applications under the HybridTech brand. The company sells its products to microelectronics systems companies.

The company was formerly known as Ceramics Process Systems Corporation and changed its name to CPS Technologies Corporation in March 2007. CPS Technologies Corporation was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Norton, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

Cps Technologies (CPSH) currently trades at $4.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4590, 89% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.03 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $4.27 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2350, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.3230 (bear) to $0.5950 (bull), the price of $4.27 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Cps Technologies reported revenue of $32.6M in FY2025 versus $22.4M in FY2021, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was $420K in FY2025, compounding −39.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $81.1M Micro · P/E ratio 379.0 · P/S ratio 4.89 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.0% · Revenue (TTM) $32.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −89%, CPSH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.1600 to $3.10). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.3230 Fair Value $0.4590 Bull $0.5950
Price $4.27 · Downside -89.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $0.3000 $0.3100 $0.3100 74
ROIC Compounder $0.3000 $0.3100 $0.3100 72
Residual Income $0.6000 $0.6500 $0.7400 71
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.1500 $0.5000 $0.6700 64
Lynch FV $0.1100 $0.1600 $0.2100 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.1100 $0.1600 $0.2100 57
EPV $0.3000 $0.3100 $0.3100 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4600 $0.6100 $0.7600 63
P/S Multiple $0.2800 $0.3700 $0.4600 58
P/B Multiple $2.33 $3.10 $3.88 55
EV/EBIT $0.6300 $0.7700 $0.9100 66
EV/EBITDA $0.9500 $1.19 $1.43 67
EV/Revenue $0.4200 $0.5100 $0.6000 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6800 $1.03 $1.29 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.6000 $0.6500 $0.7400 71
ROIC Compounder $0.3000 $0.3100 $0.3100 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3800 $0.5400 $0.7000 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 36
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 89
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 90
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 54
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 37
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 38
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

  • BuyIvo James CavoliDirector2× since Nov 13, 2025: 3,815 shares, avg. $3.69$14,066Mar 16, 2026

Plus 6 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+54.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.6% vs −6.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

CPSH screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 691 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.4% · Below median
Return on assets 1.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 0.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 4.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 1.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 379.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.50× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)6 · sector 71
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
TE Connectivity plc TEL $219.41 $224.30 +2% vs CPSH
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 3,040 TWD 2,737 TWD −10% vs CPSH
Amphenol Corporation APH $79.31 $70.91 −11% vs CPSH
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥76.88 ¥66.42 −14% vs CPSH
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 313.00 TWD 243.40 TWD −22% vs CPSH
Celestica Inc CLS $242.92 $109.91 −55% vs CPSH
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,295 TWD 519.57 TWD −60% vs CPSH
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥51.67 ¥18.44 −64% vs CPSH
Corning Incorporated GLW $120.46 $33.72 −72% vs CPSH
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 923,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −81% vs CPSH

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cps Technologies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPSH

Frequently asked questions

Is Cps Technologies (CPSH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4590 versus a price of $4.27, about 89% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CPSH?
Our model-based fair value for Cps Technologies is $0.4590 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.27.
What is the quality score of CPSH?
Cps Technologies has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4590 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3230, optimistic scenario $0.5950. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cps Technologies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4590, about 89% lower versus a price of $4.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3230, optimistic scenario $0.5950. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Cps Technologies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cps Technologies it is $0.4590 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of $4.27. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Cps Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, CPSH trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.27, fair value $0.4590, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPSH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4590). For Cps Technologies the two are $3.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cps Technologies worth?
The market values Cps Technologies at about $81.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is $4.27; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4590 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPSH?
Our models span a range for Cps Technologies: cautious scenario $0.3230, base $0.4590, optimistic $0.5950 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price $4.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CPSH?
Cps Technologies trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 379.0 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4590 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings: 25.1. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 2.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cps Technologies (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CPSH from its 52-week high?
Cps Technologies trades at $4.27, about 63% below its 52-week high of $11.59 and 40% above the low of $3.04 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4590 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cps Technologies?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cps Technologies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price $4.27, calculated fair value $0.4590 (−89%), Quality Score 44/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPSH calculated?
We run Cps Technologies through 14 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.4590 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Cps Technologies itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was $4.27. Our model-based fair value is $0.4590, about 89% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cps Technologies right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5950). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3230 to $0.5950) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Cps Technologies (CPSH) come from?
Earnings per share at Cps Technologies grew +1.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin −1.4 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Cps Technologies

How large is the market capitalisation of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The market capitalisation of Cps Technologies is $81.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cps Technologies is 4.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The net margin of Cps Technologies is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cps Technologies is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cps Technologies is −0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
The operating margin of Cps Technologies is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Revenue at Cps Technologies is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cps Technologies (CPSH)?
Earnings per share at Cps Technologies are growing +78.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cps Technologies (CPSH) generate?
The free cash flow of Cps Technologies is −$513K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cps Technologies (CPSH) hold?
Cps Technologies holds more cash than debt, $4.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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