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China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Power International Development Limited $0.65, price $0.35, upside +85.7%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026
Some data
Sep 23, 2026
China Power International Development Limited
CPWIF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $0.6500 · Strongly undervalued (+85.7%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1291 – $0.4794 · fair‑value band $0.5200 – $0.8500 · the $0.3500 price screens below the $0.6500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
China Power International Development Limited, an investment holding company, develops, constructs, owns, operates, and manages power plants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Thermal Power Electricity, Hydropower Electricity, Wind Power Electricity, Photovoltaic Power Electricity, and Energy Storage segments.
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China Power International Development Limited, an investment holding company, develops, constructs, owns, operates, and manages power plants in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Thermal Power Electricity, Hydropower Electricity, Wind Power Electricity, Photovoltaic Power Electricity, and Energy Storage segments. The company generates, distributes, and sells electricity through coal-fired, hydro, wind, photovoltaic, natural gas, and environmental power plants. It also offers energy storage, green power transportation, and energy solution services; logistics services; technical services in relation to generation of electricity; and invest on new energy power resources. China Power International Development Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. China Power International Development Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Power International Holding Limited.
Stock analysis
China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF) currently trades at $0.3500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 46.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.7000 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.3500 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.4100, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.5200 (bear) to $0.8500 (bull), the price of $0.3500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Power International Development Limited reported revenue of 49.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 35.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $5.4B · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 0.61 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 14.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 86%, CPWIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5200
Fair Value $0.6500
Bull $0.8500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$0.5500
$0.5700
$0.6100
76
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2700
$0.4700
$0.5700
67
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.4600
$0.6500
$0.8500
67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.2800
$1.15
$1.57
64
Lynch FV
$0.2900
$0.4100
$0.5400
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.2900
$0.4100
$0.5400
57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2700
$0.5400
$0.8200
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2700
$0.4700
$0.5700
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.5500
$0.7400
$0.9200
63
P/S Multiple
$0.5200
$0.7000
$0.8700
58
P/B Multiple
$0.5200
$0.7000
$0.8700
55
EV/EBIT
n/a
n/a
$0.4200
61
EV/EBITDA
$0.5300
$1.27
$2.01
63
EV/Revenue
n/a
n/a
$0.2100
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.3500
$0.4700
$0.7100
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.5500
$0.5700
$0.6100
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.4600
$0.6500
$0.8500
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
35/100
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Profitability
22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.5% vs −3.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 19%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $75.74 | $29.97 | −60% |
| The Southern Company SO | $82.89 | $57.57 | −31% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $113.41 | $74.88 | −34% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $118.64 | $100.03 | −16% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $60.76 | $37.84 | −38% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $98.10 | $37.37 | −62% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $69.39 | $54.92 | −21% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $40.32 | $36.01 | −11% |
| Consolidated Edison, Inc ED | $103.33 | $47.76 | −54% |
| PG&E Corporation PCG | $12.34 | $17.85 | +45% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6500 versus a price of $0.3500, about +86% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CPWIF?
Our model-based fair value for China Power International Development Limited is $0.6500 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3500.
What is the quality score of CPWIF?
China Power International Development Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6500 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5200, optimistic scenario $0.8500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Power International Development Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6500, about +86% upside versus a price of $0.3500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.5200, optimistic scenario $0.8500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
China Power International Development Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 52.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Power International Development Limited it is $0.6500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.3500. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Power International Development Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CPWIF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.3500, fair value $0.6500, a gap of about +86% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CPWIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6500). For China Power International Development Limited the two are $0.3000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Power International Development Limited worth?
The market values China Power International Development Limited at about $5.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.3500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CPWIF?
Our models span a range for China Power International Development Limited: cautious scenario $0.5200, base $0.6500, optimistic $0.8500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.3500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Which stocks are comparable to China Power International Development Limited?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Power International Development Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.3500, calculated fair value $0.6500 (+86%), Quality Score 35/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CPWIF calculated?
We run China Power International Development Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Power International Development Limited currently trades 46 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.3500. Our model-based fair value is $0.6500, about +86% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Power International Development Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.5200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF) come from?
Earnings per share at China Power International Development Limited grew −4.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.6 %, EBIT margin −4.8 %, tax rate −1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Power International Development Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
The market capitalisation of China Power International Development Limited is $5.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of China Power International Development Limited is 8.8. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Power International Development Limited is 0.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
Earnings per share at China Power International Development Limited are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
The net margin of China Power International Development Limited is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Power International Development Limited is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Power International Development Limited is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
The operating margin of China Power International Development Limited is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
Revenue at China Power International Development Limited is growing −4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF)?
Earnings per share at China Power International Development Limited are growing −56.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF) generate?
The free cash flow of China Power International Development Limited is −2.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Power International Development Limited (CPWIF) carry?
The net debt of China Power International Development Limited is 204B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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