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Dominion Energy, Inc (D) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $61.6B

DE Dominion Energy, Inc logo Dominion Energy, Inc D · US
Price$66.80
Fair Value$46.92
Upside-29.8%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.9% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
3.84% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: Medium Range $33.78 – $58.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($58.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$72.54 $34.67 Fair Value $46.92 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $34.67 – $72.54 · fair‑value band $33.78 – $58.65 · the $66.80 price screens above the $46.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Dominion Energy, Inc (D) currently trades at $66.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.92, implying the stock looks roughly 29.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dominion Energy, Inc generated revenue of $17.4B at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at $48.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $33.78 (bear case) to $58.65 (bull case); at $66.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -30%, D screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $29.52 $32.82 $47.07 76
ROIC Compounder $5.84 72
Gordon GGM $23.78 $34.68 $46.02 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $23.18 $47.13 $59.36 54
EPV $5.84 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $23.78 $34.68 $46.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage $23.78 $33.64 $45.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $51.13 $68.17 $85.22 63
P/S Multiple $35.19 $46.92 $58.65 58
P/B Multiple $43.46 $57.95 $72.44 55
EV/EBIT $18.42 $41.00 $63.59 53
EV/EBITDA $29.35 $55.58 $81.81 54
EV/Revenue $11.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.53 $22.16 $33.07 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.52 $32.82 $47.07 76
ROIC Compounder $5.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $37.31 $53.30 $69.29 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($55.58) versus Asset-Based ($22.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.1%
Net margin 16.9%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow −$7.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.6
More key figures
Operating margin 28.8%
EPS (TTM) $3.39
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.2%
Net debt $48.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dominion Energy, Inc. provides regulated electricity and natural gas services in the United States. It operates through Dominion Energy Virginia, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Energy segments.

Full company description

Dominion Energy, Inc. provides regulated electricity and natural gas services in the United States. It operates through Dominion Energy Virginia, Dominion Energy South Carolina, and Contracted Energy segments. The Dominion Energy Virginia segment engages in the generation, distribution, and transmission of electricity to approximately 2.8 million residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers in Virginia and North Carolina. The Dominion Energy South Carolina segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 0.8 million customers in the central, southern, and southwestern portions of South Carolina; and distributes natural gas to approximately 0.5 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in South Carolina. The Contracted Energy segment is involved in the nonregulated long-term contracted renewable electric generation fleet and renewable natural gas facilities. As of December 31, 2025, the company's portfolio of assets included approximately 30.7 GW of electric generating capacity, 10,800 miles of electric transmission lines, and 80,400 miles of electric distribution lines. The company was formerly known as Dominion Resources, Inc. Dominion Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dominion Energy, Inc reported revenue of $16.5B in FY2025 versus $11.4B in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was $3.0B in FY2025, compounding −3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$16.5B
Latest YoY
+14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+4.6%
Revenue +9.6%/yr
FY21 $11.4B
FY22 $13.9B
FY23 $14.4B
FY24 $14.5B
FY25 $16.5B
Net income −3.1%/yr
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $2.0B
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $3.0B

D screens 30% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dominion Energy, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/D

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.50× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.98× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 39 · sector 39
HEALTH 25 · sector 53
DIVIDEND 77 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%
CK Infrastructure Holdings 1038 HK$62.60 HK$42.74 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dominion Energy, Inc (D) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $46.92 versus a price of $66.80, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of D?
Our model-based fair value for Dominion Energy, Inc is $46.92 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $66.80.
What is the quality score of D?
Dominion Energy, Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dominion Energy, Inc (D)?
Dominion Energy, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of D?
The net profit margin of Dominion Energy, Inc is about 16.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dominion Energy, Inc pay a dividend?
Dominion Energy, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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