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The Southern Company (SO) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $108B

TS The Southern Company logo The Southern Company SO · US
Price$92.90
Fair Value$61.06
Upside-34.3%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.5% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
3.11% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $41.12 – $81.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($81.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($41.12 to $81.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$98.30 $50.27 Fair Value $61.06 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $50.27 – $98.30 · fair‑value band $41.12 – $81.83 · the $92.90 price screens above the $61.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

The Southern Company (SO) currently trades at $92.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $61.06, implying the stock looks roughly 34.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Southern Company generated revenue of $30.2B at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $64.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $41.12 (bear case) to $81.83 (bull case); at $92.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -34%, SO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $29.77 $34.56 $57.84 76
ROIC Compounder $7.39 $15.33 72
Gordon GGM $24.56 $49.26 $81.00 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.19 $68.23 $88.98 54
PEG = 1.0 $12.97 $18.52 $24.08 46
EPV $7.39 $15.33 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $24.56 $49.26 $81.00 70
DDM Multi-Stage $24.56 $37.75 $51.92 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $57.76 $77.02 $96.27 63
P/S Multiple $49.10 $65.46 $81.83 58
P/B Multiple $49.10 $65.46 $81.83 55
EV/EBIT $30.96 $59.98 $89.01 53
EV/EBITDA $58.93 $97.27 $135.62 54
EV/Revenue $9.42 $29.09 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.97 $21.41 $31.95 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.77 $34.56 $57.84 76
ROIC Compounder $7.39 $15.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $45.26 $64.65 $84.05 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($65.46) versus Economic Profit ($7.39). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $30.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.0%
Net margin 14.5%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow −$3.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 24.5
More key figures
Operating margin 25.8%
EPS (TTM) $3.91
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -0.8%
Net debt $64.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Southern Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the sale of electricity. The company offers electric service to retail customers and wholesale customers; and energy-related products and services to natural gas choice markets.

Full company description

The Southern Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the sale of electricity. The company offers electric service to retail customers and wholesale customers; and energy-related products and services to natural gas choice markets. It also develops, constructs, acquires, owns, operates, and manages power generation assets, as well as battery energy storage projects; sells electricity at market-based rates in the wholesale market; and deploys microgrids for commercial, industrial, governmental, and utility customers. In addition, the company is involved in the distribution of natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee; distributes energy and resilience solutions; and invests in telecommunications. The Southern Company was incorporated in 1945 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Southern Company reported revenue of $29.6B in FY2025 versus $23.1B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3B in FY2025, compounding +15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.6B
Latest YoY
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+3.7%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 $23.1B
FY22 $29.3B
FY23 $25.3B
FY24 $26.7B
FY25 $29.6B
Net income +15.9%/yr
FY21 $2.4B
FY22 $3.5B
FY23 $4.0B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $4.3B

SO screens 34% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Southern Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SO

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.80× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.74× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 40 · sector 32
PAST 44 · sector 39
HEALTH 10 · sector 53
DIVIDEND 62 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%
CK Infrastructure Holdings 1038 HK$62.60 HK$42.74 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Southern Company (SO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $61.06 versus a price of $92.90, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SO?
Our model-based fair value for The Southern Company is $61.06 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $92.90.
What is the quality score of SO?
The Southern Company has a Quality Score of 50/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Southern Company (SO)?
The Southern Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SO?
The net profit margin of The Southern Company is about 14.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Southern Company pay a dividend?
The Southern Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.32% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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