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Critical Elements Lithium Corporation (CRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Critical Elements Lithium Corporation is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Price below fair value? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA22675W1077

CE

Critical Elements Lithium Corporation

CRE · V
Evidence: Low As of: Sep 12, 2026
PriceC$0.3700
Fair ValueC$0.3000
Upside−18.9%
Quality53/100

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value C$0.3000 · Overvalued (−19%)
!Quality 53/100 (market factors 34, not scored)
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +23.6 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/8)
!Narrow moat 2/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.92 C$0.2900 Fair Value C$0.3000 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.2900 – C$2.92 · fair‑value band C$0.2500 – C$0.3700 · the C$0.3700 price screens above the C$0.3000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Critical Elements Lithium Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, development, and processing of critical minerals mining properties in Canada. The company explores for lithium, tantalum, niobium, copper, zinc, gold, silver, nickel, lead, platinum group, and rare earth element deposits.

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Critical Elements Lithium Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, development, and processing of critical minerals mining properties in Canada. The company explores for lithium, tantalum, niobium, copper, zinc, gold, silver, nickel, lead, platinum group, and rare earth element deposits. Its flagship project is the Rose Lithium-Tantalum project that consists of 502 claims covering approximately an area of 26,034 hectares and a mining lease representing 157 hectares located in the Traditional Lands of the Eastmain Community. The company was formerly known as Critical Elements Corporation and changed its name to Critical Elements Lithium Corporation in June 2019. Critical Elements Lithium Corporation was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Blainville, Canada.

Stock analysis

Critical Elements Lithium Corporation (CRE) currently trades at C$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3000, implying the stock looks roughly 23.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.7500 per share, and 4 of the 9 models we run sit above the C$0.3700 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at C$0.0900, and 5 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.2500 (bear) to C$0.3700 (bull), the price of C$0.3700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Critical Elements Lithium Corporation reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was C$4.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$80.6M (≈ $58.1M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.2% · EPS growth (YoY) −72.0% · Free cash flow −C$7.2M · Net cash C$25.3M.

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −19%, CRE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income C$0.2400 C$0.2300 C$0.1900 65
Owner Earnings C$0.0500 C$0.0900 C$0.1500 63
P/E Multiple C$0.2200 C$0.3000 C$0.3700 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings C$0.0500 C$0.0900 C$0.1500 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.1200 C$0.8300 C$1.17 54
Lynch FV C$0.4300 C$0.6100 C$0.8000 52
PEG = 1.0 C$0.4300 C$0.6100 C$0.8000 49
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.2200 C$0.3000 C$0.3700 63
P/B Multiple C$0.2200 C$0.3000 C$0.3700 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1700 C$0.2300 C$0.3400 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.2400 C$0.2300 C$0.1900 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.5300 C$0.7500 C$0.9800 58

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Key figures & financial health

Market cap C$80.6M (≈ $58.1M)
EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100
Return on equity −2.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −7.2% avg 5y
EPS growth (YoY) −72.0%
Free cash flow −C$7.2M FY2025
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Net cash C$25.3M FY2023

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

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Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Critical Elements Lithium Corporation reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was C$4.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2011)
C$23.6K
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.6%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,814.0% (2007) → −6,733.3% (2011)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue
FY21 C$0
FY22 C$0
FY23 C$0
FY24 C$0
FY25 C$0
Net income
FY21 −C$1.2M
FY22 −C$6.6M
FY23 −C$3.3M
FY24 −C$124K
FY25 C$4.1M

CRE screens 23% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Critical Elements Lithium Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRE.V

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 489 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE8 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 28
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP A$63.44 A$42.04 −34%
Vale S.A VALE $15.27 $8.95 −41%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 65.50 SAR 33.87 SAR −48%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.42 ¥16.15 −12%
Teck Resources Limited TECK $69.34 $32.02 −54%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥66.76 ¥9.55 −86%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹573.00 ₹508.34 −11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 −74%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥37.85 ¥25.99 −31%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,145,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Critical Elements Lithium Corporation (CRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3000 versus a price of C$0.3700, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRE?
Our model-based fair value for Critical Elements Lithium Corporation is C$0.3000 (as of Sep 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.3700.
What is the quality score of CRE?
Critical Elements Lithium Corporation has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Critical Elements Lithium Corporation (CRE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.3000 (as of Sep 12, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.2500, optimistic scenario C$0.3700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Critical Elements Lithium Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.3000, about −19% upside versus a price of C$0.3700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.2500, optimistic scenario C$0.3700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of CRE?
The net profit margin of Critical Elements Lithium Corporation is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Critical Elements Lithium Corporation (CRE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Critical Elements Lithium Corporation it is C$0.3000 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026), against a price of C$0.3700. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Critical Elements Lithium Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 12, 2026, CRE trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.3700, fair value C$0.3000, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.3700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.3000). For Critical Elements Lithium Corporation the two are C$0.0700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Critical Elements Lithium Corporation worth?
The market values Critical Elements Lithium Corporation at about C$80.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 12, 2026). Per share that is C$0.3700; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.3000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRE?
Our models span a range for Critical Elements Lithium Corporation: cautious scenario C$0.2500, base C$0.3000, optimistic C$0.3700 per share (as of Sep 12, 2026, price C$0.3700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Critical Elements Lithium Corporation (CRE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Critical Elements Lithium Corporation (as of Sep 12, 2026): return on equity −2.9%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRE from its 52-week high?
Critical Elements Lithium Corporation trades at C$0.3700, about 36% below its 52-week high of C$0.5800 and 12% above the low of C$0.3300 (as of Sep 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.3000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Critical Elements Lithium Corporation?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Critical Elements Lithium Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 12, 2026: price C$0.3700, calculated fair value C$0.3000 (−19%), Quality Score 53/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRE calculated?
We run Critical Elements Lithium Corporation through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.3000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 31.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Critical Elements Lithium Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
What should I pay attention to with Critical Elements Lithium Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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