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Cresco Labs Inc (CRLBF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $300M

CL Cresco Labs Inc logo Cresco Labs Inc CRLBF · US
Price$0.7859
Fair Value$2.36
Upside+200.0%
Quality34/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -20.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.53 – $3.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $2.66 to $2.36 (−11.4%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price +4.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 200% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.53 to $3.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$12.25 $0.4320 Fair Value $2.36 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4320 – $12.25 · fair‑value band $1.53 – $3.17 · the $0.7859 price screens below the $2.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Cresco Labs Inc (CRLBF) currently trades at $0.7859, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.36, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cresco Labs Inc generated revenue of $641M at a net margin of -20.9%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -45.8%. Net debt stands at $367M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.53 (bear case) to $3.17 (bull case); at $0.7859, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 200%, CRLBF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0200 $0.6700 $1.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6000 $1.97 $3.76 74
ROIC Compounder $0.0700 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0400 $0.7900 $1.97 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.6000 $2.02 $4.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.66 $4.23 $7.54 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.3100 $1.52 $3.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.01 $3.01 $6.19 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0700 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0100 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.76 $2.68 $3.60 53
EV/EBITDA $2.92 $4.23 $5.54 54
EV/Revenue $0.9600 $1.81 $2.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3600 $0.4800 $0.7100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0200 $0.6700 $1.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6000 $1.97 $3.76 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0700 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.68) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $641M
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.7%
Net margin -20.9%
Return on equity -45.8%
Free cash flow $34.7M FY2025
Operating margin 7.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) -83.8%
Net debt $367M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 3
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cresco Labs Inc. cultivates, manufactures, and sells retail and medical cannabis products in the United States and Germany.

Full company description

Cresco Labs Inc. cultivates, manufactures, and sells retail and medical cannabis products in the United States and Germany. It provides cannabis in flowers, vape pens, live resins, disposable pens, and extracts under the Cresco brand; vape carts, vape pens, flower, popcorn, shake, pre-rolls, shorties, and concentrates under the High Supply brand; vapes, gummies, and pre-rolls under the Good News brand; vapes and edibles under the Wonder Wellness Co. brand; and tinctures, capsules, salves, and sublingual oils under the Remedi brand. The company offers cannabis flowers under the FloraCal brand; and cannabis oils and variety of bites are available at multiple potency levels under the Mindy's brand, as well as Loud*r brand. In addition, the company offers cannabis-infused edibles under the Sunnyside brand. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cresco Labs Inc reported revenue of $656M in FY2025 versus $822M in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$135M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$656M
Latest YoY
−9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+47.5%
Revenue −5.5%/yr
FY21 $822M
FY22 $843M
FY23 $771M
FY24 $724M
FY25 $656M
Net income
FY21 −$320M
FY22 −$212M
FY23 −$176M
FY24 −$74.4M
FY25 −$135M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cresco Labs Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRLBF

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 634 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.65× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 6
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 23
HEALTH17 · sector 96
DIVIDEND1 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 -52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹8,525 ₹1,228 -86%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,915 ₹1,163 -76%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,440 TWD 233.93 TWD -84%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,463 ₹1,001 -32%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,167 ₹703.32 -40%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,281 ₹2,477 +9%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,433 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,200 ₹874.79 -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cresco Labs Inc (CRLBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.36 versus a price of $0.7859, about +200% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRLBF?
Our model-based fair value for Cresco Labs Inc is $2.36 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7859.
What is the quality score of CRLBF?
Cresco Labs Inc has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cresco Labs Inc (CRLBF)?
Cresco Labs Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $641M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRLBF?
The net profit margin of Cresco Labs Inc is about -20.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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