Cairn Homes plc (CRN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 1.2B GBX
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +8.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range £1.54 – £2.11 · fair‑value band £1.70 – £5.85 · the £2.04 price screens below the £3.85 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Cairn Homes plc (CRN) currently trades at £2.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.85 — implying the stock looks roughly 89.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cairn Homes plc generated revenue of £945M at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue grew 33.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at £177M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.70 (bear case) to £5.85 (bull case); at £2.04, the current price sits within that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside — at 89%, CRN screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Cairn Homes plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as homebuilder in Ireland. The company builds, develops, and sells residential properties, including houses, duplexes, and apartments, as well as commercial and retail spaces. It also engages in property holding and rental; and financing activities. Cairn Homes plc was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cairn Homes plc reported revenue of £944M in FY2025 versus £424M in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was £133M in FY2025, compounding +32.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| D.R. Horton, Inc D1HI34 | R$810.00 | R$845.83 | +4% |
| PulteGroup, Inc PHM | $118.49 | $129.42 | +9% |
| Lennar Corporation LEN | $89.85 | $89.36 | -1% |
| NVR, Inc NVR | $6,353 | $8,059 | +27% |
| Toll Brothers, Inc TOL | $151.92 | $223.66 | +47% |
| Sekisui House, Ltd SKHSY | $19.87 | $35.50 | +79% |
| Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC | $71.60 | $142.50 | +99% |
| Installed Building Products, Inc IBP | $211.92 | $209.51 | -1% |
| Sumitomo Forestry Co SMFRF | $7.98 | $11.72 | +47% |
| Persimmon Plc, PSMMF | $15.26 | $12.48 | -18% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.