Castile Resources Ltd (CST) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$28.0M (≈ $20.1M) · ISIN AU0000070419
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 60% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0989). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0989 to A$0.3003). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0470 – A$0.2700 · fair‑value band A$0.0989 – A$0.3003 · the A$0.0750 price screens below the A$0.1870 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Castile Resources Ltd (CST) currently trades at A$0.0750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1870, implying the stock looks roughly 149.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$240K. Revenue declined 33.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$4.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0989 (bear case) to A$0.3003 (bull case); at A$0.0750, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at 149%, CST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.1500) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Castile Resources Limited engages in the mineral exploration and project development activities in Australia. It focuses on exploring for copper, gold, lead, cobalt, silver, zinc, bismuth, and other base metals. The company's flagship project owned 100% interests in the Rover projects located in the Northern Territory.
Full company description
Castile Resources Limited engages in the mineral exploration and project development activities in Australia. It focuses on exploring for copper, gold, lead, cobalt, silver, zinc, bismuth, and other base metals. The company's flagship project owned 100% interests in the Rover projects located in the Northern Territory. Castile Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in West Leederville, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Castile Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$267K in FY2025 versus A$78.7K in FY2021, a compound +35.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 479 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.40 | A$41.87 | -37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.16 | $8.95 | -41% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | -12% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$17.70 | A$18.62 | +5% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $65.95 | $31.92 | -52% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | -11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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