Captain Technocast Ltd (CTCL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹5.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹168.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹65.04 to ₹168.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹7.41 – ₹316.50 · fair‑value band ₹65.04 – ₹168.32 · the ₹278.00 price screens above the ₹89.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Captain Technocast Ltd (CTCL) currently trades at ₹278.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹89.42, implying the stock looks roughly 67.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Captain Technocast Ltd generated revenue of ₹1.3B at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 170.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.0%. Net debt stands at ₹188M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹65.04 (bear case) to ₹168.32 (bull case); at ₹278.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -68%, CTCL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹169.69) versus Dividend Discount (₹2.66). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when CTCL reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Captain Technocast Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of investment casting products in India. The company provides automotive, defense, aerospace, valve, turbine blades, industrial process pumps, power plant boiler parts, and aerospace castings.
Full company description
Captain Technocast Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of investment casting products in India. The company provides automotive, defense, aerospace, valve, turbine blades, industrial process pumps, power plant boiler parts, and aerospace castings. It offers earth moving machinery, engineering and automation, firefighting equipment, structural hardware, marine applications, and dairy equipment castings. The company offers its products in various forms, including carbon steel, alloy steel, super alloy steel, and non-ferrous steel. It exports its products. Captain Technocast Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Rajkot, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Captain Technocast Ltd reported revenue of ₹1.3B in FY2026 versus ₹504M in FY2022, a compound +26.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹116M in FY2026, compounding +43.4%/yr from FY2022.
CTCL screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 250 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $528.64 | $101.35 | -81% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $230.43 | $35.74 | -84% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $68.28 | $59.33 | -13% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥8.87 | ¥3.39 | -62% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | -69% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | -58% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥48.83 | ¥24.43 | -50% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.40 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥86.20 | ¥42.71 | -50% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.32 | ¥1.35 | -59% |
Compare Captain Technocast Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Captain Technocast Ltd (CTCL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CTCL?
What is the quality score of CTCL?
What is the revenue of Captain Technocast Ltd (CTCL)?
What is the net profit margin of CTCL?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Captain Technocast Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.