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Western Superconducting Technologies Co (688122) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 37.3B CNY

WS Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 · SHG
Price¥53.16
Fair Value¥24.43
Upside-54.0%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.74% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥15.24 – ¥30.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥26.76 to ¥24.43 (−8.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥30.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥15.24 to ¥30.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥106.21 ¥31.43 Fair Value ¥24.43 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥31.43 – ¥106.21 · fair‑value band ¥15.24 – ¥30.70 · the ¥53.16 price screens above the ¥24.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Western Superconducting Technologies Co (688122) currently trades at ¥53.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.43, implying the stock looks roughly 54.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Western Superconducting Technologies Co generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of 13.6%. Revenue grew 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at 419M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.24 (bear case) to ¥30.70 (bull case); at ¥53.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -54%, 688122 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.78 ¥14.60 ¥25.79 80
Residual Income ¥10.63 ¥12.05 ¥19.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.73 ¥20.00 ¥33.22 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.00 ¥13.27 ¥27.02 38
Owner Earnings ¥17.95 ¥36.23 ¥72.31 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.73 ¥20.48 ¥34.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.10 ¥32.58 ¥55.37 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥17.16 ¥35.09 ¥57.58 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.46 ¥18.80 ¥34.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.55 ¥28.20 ¥54.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.28 ¥30.06 ¥56.21 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.80 ¥54.39 ¥75.92 54
Lynch FV ¥15.62 ¥22.32 ¥29.01 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥15.62 ¥22.32 ¥29.01 46
EPV ¥13.76 ¥15.81 ¥17.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.02 ¥16.68 ¥26.46 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.02 ¥14.06 ¥17.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥20.38 ¥27.17 ¥33.96 63
P/S Multiple ¥12.09 ¥16.12 ¥20.15 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.49 ¥21.99 ¥27.49 55
EV/EBIT ¥21.99 ¥28.84 ¥35.69 53
EV/EBITDA ¥20.24 ¥26.51 ¥32.78 54
EV/Revenue ¥11.59 ¥15.94 ¥20.30 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.85 ¥7.83 ¥11.69 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.78 ¥14.60 ¥25.79 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.73 ¥20.00 ¥33.22 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.63 ¥12.05 ¥19.50 76
ROIC Compounder ¥15.24 ¥21.81 ¥27.08 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.42 ¥32.02 ¥41.63 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥32.02) versus Asset-Based (¥7.83). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.6%
Net margin 13.6%
Return on equity 10.9%
Free cash flow 290M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 52.2
More key figures
Operating margin 13.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.10
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -73.1%
Net debt 419M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of superconducting materials, high-end titanium alloy materials, and high temperature alloy materials and applications in China and internationally.

Full company description

Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of superconducting materials, high-end titanium alloy materials, and high temperature alloy materials and applications in China and internationally. The company offers superconducting products, including titanium ingots, superconducting wires, niobium ingots, MgB2 wires, and superconducting magnets; high-end titanium alloy materials, such as rods and wires; and high-temperature alloy materials comprising deformed high-temperature alloys and high-temperature alloy master bars. It serves energy, medical, transportation, information, new fighters, helicopters, fighters, large aircraft, helicopters, aero engines, ships, and large aircraft industries. Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Xi'an, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Western Superconducting Technologies Co reported revenue of ¥5.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.9B in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥840M in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+19.9%
Revenue +15.7%/yr
FY21 ¥2.9B
FY22 ¥4.2B
FY23 ¥4.2B
FY24 ¥4.6B
FY25 ¥5.2B
Net income +3.2%/yr
FY21 ¥741M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥752M
FY24 ¥801M
FY25 ¥840M

688122 screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Western Superconducting Technologies Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688122

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 36.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 3 · sector 35
PAST 43 · sector 21
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Western Superconducting Technologies Co (688122) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥24.43 versus a price of ¥53.16, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688122?
Our model-based fair value for Western Superconducting Technologies Co is ¥24.43 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥53.16.
What is the quality score of 688122?
Western Superconducting Technologies Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Western Superconducting Technologies Co (688122)?
Western Superconducting Technologies Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688122?
The net profit margin of Western Superconducting Technologies Co is about 13.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Western Superconducting Technologies Co pay a dividend?
Western Superconducting Technologies Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.74% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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