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Anhui Yingliu (603308) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Anhui Yingliu ¥8.07, price ¥38.95, upside -79.3%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100001SN8

AY Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Anhui Yingliu

603308 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥8.07 · Strongly overvalued (−79%)
!Quality 44/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.41% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Weak on past: 25 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥83.00 ¥8.95 Fair Value ¥8.07 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.95 – ¥83.00 · fair‑value band ¥5.78 – ¥10.49 · the ¥38.95 price screens above the ¥8.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells special equipment parts in China. The company provides high-temperature alloy turbine blades, guide vanes, casings for aircraft engines, high-temperature alloy turbine blades for gas turbines, and other high-pressure and corrosion-resistant pump, and valve castings.

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Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells special equipment parts in China. The company provides high-temperature alloy turbine blades, guide vanes, casings for aircraft engines, high-temperature alloy turbine blades for gas turbines, and other high-pressure and corrosion-resistant pump, and valve castings. In addition, it offers valve bodies, covers, doors, brackets, engineering machinery parts and other castings; nuclear power castings, such as main pump casing, and valves and support castings; Gas turbine castings; corrosion-resistant stainless steel castings for ships and marine engineering; new nuclear energy materials, including neutron shielding materials, highly flame-retardant radiation shielding materials, and spent fuel post-production materials; nuclear power plant equipment, which includes metal insulation, spent fuel storage racks; and small engines and ground power supplies. Further, it provides general, engineering machinery, transportation equipment, as well as involved in parts manufacturing and sales and technology development. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Hefei, China.

Stock analysis

Anhui Yingliu (603308) currently trades at ¥38.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.07, implying the stock looks roughly 382.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥8.60 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥38.95 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥2.24, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥5.78 (bear) to ¥10.49 (bull), the price of ¥38.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Anhui Yingliu reported revenue of 2.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was 349M CNY in FY2025, compounding +10.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 32.9B CNY (≈ $4.9B) · P/E ratio 70.8 · P/S ratio 8.46 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 11.9% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −79%, 603308 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.78 Fair Value ¥8.07 Bull ¥10.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2864 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.96 ¥6.25 ¥6.54 76
Owner Earnings n/a n/a ¥2.23 73
EPV ¥1.32 ¥2.24 ¥3.03 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings n/a n/a ¥2.23 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.49 ¥12.54 ¥16.90 64
Lynch FV ¥2.96 ¥4.23 ¥5.50 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.96 ¥4.23 ¥5.50 57
EPV ¥1.32 ¥2.24 ¥3.03 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.54 ¥5.06 ¥7.66 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.54 ¥4.37 ¥5.34 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.09 ¥10.78 ¥13.48 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.45 ¥8.60 ¥10.75 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.55 ¥8.73 ¥10.91 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.57 ¥7.60 ¥10.62 64
EV/EBITDA ¥7.07 ¥10.92 ¥14.77 66
EV/Revenue ¥0.9200 ¥3.24 ¥5.56 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.72 ¥4.99 ¥7.44 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.96 ¥6.25 ¥6.54 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.32 ¥2.24 ¥3.03 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.65 ¥8.07 ¥10.49 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12% vs 14%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 17%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

603308 screens 383% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.74× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 70.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 6.52× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 10.48× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 48.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)25 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)63 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Aurubis AG NDA €167.40 €109.36 −35%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.11 +34%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.25 −80%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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Anhui Yingliu · Fair Value
¥8.07 −383%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Yingliu Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603308

Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Yingliu (603308) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.07 versus a price of ¥38.95, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603308?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Yingliu is ¥8.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥38.95.
What is the quality score of 603308?
Anhui Yingliu has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.78, optimistic scenario ¥10.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anhui Yingliu stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.07, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥38.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.78, optimistic scenario ¥10.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
Anhui Yingliu reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Anhui Yingliu pay a dividend?
Anhui Yingliu currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anhui Yingliu it is ¥8.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥38.95. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Anhui Yingliu stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 603308 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥38.95, fair value ¥8.07, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603308?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥38.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.07). For Anhui Yingliu the two are ¥30.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anhui Yingliu worth?
The market values Anhui Yingliu at about 32.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥38.95; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603308?
Our models span a range for Anhui Yingliu: cautious scenario ¥5.78, base ¥8.07, optimistic ¥10.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥38.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603308?
Anhui Yingliu trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 70.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.5, P/S 10.5, EV/EBITDA 48.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
Balance-sheet figures for Anhui Yingliu (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 0.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603308 from its 52-week high?
Anhui Yingliu trades at ¥38.95, about 53% below its 52-week high of ¥83.00 and 20% above the low of ¥32.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anhui Yingliu?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anhui Yingliu stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥38.95, calculated fair value ¥8.07 (−79%), Quality Score 44/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603308 calculated?
We run Anhui Yingliu through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Anhui Yingliu itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥38.95. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.07, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Anhui Yingliu right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥5.78 to ¥10.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Anhui Yingliu (603308) come from?
Earnings per share at Anhui Yingliu grew +9.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Anhui Yingliu

How large is the market capitalisation of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
The market capitalisation of Anhui Yingliu is 32.9B CNY (≈ $4.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anhui Yingliu is 8.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Yingliu are ¥0.5500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 70.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
The dividend yield of Anhui Yingliu is 0.4% (payout 29.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
The net margin of Anhui Yingliu is 11.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anhui Yingliu is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anhui Yingliu is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
The operating margin of Anhui Yingliu is 17.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
Revenue at Anhui Yingliu is growing +34.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anhui Yingliu (603308)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Yingliu are growing +28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Anhui Yingliu (603308) generate?
The free cash flow of Anhui Yingliu is −369M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Anhui Yingliu (603308) carry?
The net debt of Anhui Yingliu is 3.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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