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Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co (603308) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 32.9B CNY

AY Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 · SHG
Price¥48.52
Fair Value¥8.07
Upside-83.4%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.33% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.87 – ¥10.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −12.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥83.00 ¥8.95 Fair Value ¥8.07 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.95 – ¥83.00 · fair‑value band ¥5.87 – ¥10.49 · the ¥48.52 price screens above the ¥8.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co (603308) currently trades at ¥48.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.07, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 12.0%. Revenue grew 34.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at 3.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.87 (bear case) to ¥10.49 (bull case); at ¥48.52, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -66% fair-value upside, at -83%, 603308 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.05 ¥6.38 ¥6.79 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.60 ¥2.62 ¥3.51 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.65 ¥5.52 ¥8.75 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.49 ¥12.54 ¥16.90 54
Lynch FV ¥2.96 ¥4.23 ¥5.50 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.96 ¥4.23 ¥5.50 46
EPV ¥1.60 ¥2.62 ¥3.51 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.65 ¥5.52 ¥8.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.65 ¥4.65 ¥5.79 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.09 ¥10.78 ¥13.48 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.45 ¥8.60 ¥10.75 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.55 ¥8.73 ¥10.91 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.57 ¥7.60 ¥10.62 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.07 ¥10.92 ¥14.77 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.9200 ¥3.24 ¥5.56 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.72 ¥4.99 ¥7.44 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.05 ¥6.38 ¥6.79 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.60 ¥2.62 ¥3.51 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.65 ¥8.07 ¥10.49 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥8.60) versus Economic Profit (¥2.62). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.1%
Net margin 12.0%
Return on equity 6.3%
Free cash flow −369M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 88.2
More key figures
Operating margin 17.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.6%
Net debt 3.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells special equipment parts in China. The company provides high-temperature alloy turbine blades, guide vanes, casings for aircraft engines, high-temperature alloy turbine blades for gas turbines, and other high-pressure and corrosion-resistant pump, and valve castings.

Full company description

Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells special equipment parts in China. The company provides high-temperature alloy turbine blades, guide vanes, casings for aircraft engines, high-temperature alloy turbine blades for gas turbines, and other high-pressure and corrosion-resistant pump, and valve castings. In addition, it offers valve bodies, covers, doors, brackets, engineering machinery parts and other castings; nuclear power castings, such as main pump casing, and valves and support castings; Gas turbine castings; corrosion-resistant stainless steel castings for ships and marine engineering; new nuclear energy materials, including neutron shielding materials, highly flame-retardant radiation shielding materials, and spent fuel post-production materials; nuclear power plant equipment, which includes metal insulation, spent fuel storage racks; and small engines and ground power supplies. Further, it provides general, engineering machinery, transportation equipment, as well as involved in parts manufacturing and sales and technology development. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥349M in FY2025, compounding +10.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+11.0%
Revenue +9.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥2.2B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income +10.8%/yr
FY21 ¥231M
FY22 ¥402M
FY23 ¥303M
FY24 ¥286M
FY25 ¥349M

603308 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603308

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.74× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 88.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 48.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 35
PAST 25 · sector 21
HEALTH 63 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co (603308) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.07 versus a price of ¥48.52, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603308?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co is ¥8.07 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥48.52.
What is the quality score of 603308?
Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co (603308)?
Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603308?
The net profit margin of Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co is about 12.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co pay a dividend?
Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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