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China Tower Corporation (CTOWY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of China Tower Corporation $16.42, price $14.93, upside +10.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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CT
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
China Tower Corporation
CTOWY · USNeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $16.42 · Fairly valued (+10.0%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.1% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 50/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.04 – $15.87 · fair‑value band $14.07 – $21.86 · the $14.93 price screens below the $16.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
China Tower Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication tower infrastructure services in the People's Republic of China.
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China Tower Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunication tower infrastructure services in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the construction, maintenance, and operation of base station ancillary facilities, such as telecommunications towers and public network coverage in high-speed railway tunnels and subways, large-scale indoor distributed antenna systems, and integrated digital infrastructure service. It also offers towers, and shelters or cabinets; and ancillary equipment to TSPs to facilitate the operating of their telecommunications equipment. In addition, the company provides maintenance services, including monitoring equipment operation, routine inspection, device breakdown handling, property upkeep, working environment protection, and operation analysis services. Further, it offers power access, batteries, or back up power generation to the customers' telecommunications equipment; and indoor distributed antenna systems connecting telecommunication equipment, enabling them to receive and send indoor mobile telecommunication network signals, as well as mobile telecommunication network signals covering large venues, buildings, and tunnels. Additionally, the company provides backup power services for standby emergency power supply to corporate customers; battery exchange services to replaceable batteries to individual customers; battery recharge services to corporate and individual customers; and trans-sector site application and information services, as well as integrated information, power generation, and energy storage services. The company was formerly known as China Communications Facilities Services Corporation Limited and changed its name to China Tower Corporation Limited in September 2014. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
China Tower Corporation (CTOWY) currently trades at $14.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.42, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $30.25 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $14.93 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.69, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $14.07 (bear) to $21.86 (bull), the price of $14.93 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Tower Corporation reported revenue of 97.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 86.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 11.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +11.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $26.1B · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 1.76 · EPS (TTM) $0.9800 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 10%, CTOWY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $14.07
Fair Value $16.42
Bull $21.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1695 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$26.19
$45.04
$75.62
78
Growth DCF
$26.36
$44.60
$73.94
76
Residual Income
$13.68
$14.10
$15.08
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$26.19
$45.04
$75.62
78
Owner Earnings
$29.94
$51.30
$85.95
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$15.80
$25.22
$37.23
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$37.54
$67.76
$104.43
74
5Y P/E Exit
$17.02
$27.61
$38.96
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$18.77
$28.55
$41.94
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$33.30
$58.83
$95.45
66
10Y P/E Exit
$19.98
$30.25
$43.32
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$6.57
$25.03
$33.90
64
Lynch FV
$6.09
$8.69
$11.30
61
PEG = 1.0
$6.09
$8.69
$11.30
57
EPV
$8.61
$10.39
$11.94
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$6.04
$12.55
$19.91
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$6.04
$10.59
$13.18
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$15.94
$21.25
$26.57
63
P/S Multiple
$12.32
$16.42
$20.53
58
P/B Multiple
$12.32
$16.42
$20.53
55
EV/EBIT
$15.10
$20.81
$26.52
66
EV/EBITDA
$48.06
$64.75
$81.45
67
EV/Revenue
$10.96
$16.53
$22.09
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$8.71
$11.67
$17.42
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$26.36
$44.60
$73.94
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$15.80
$25.38
$37.10
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$13.68
$14.10
$15.08
76
ROIC Compounder
$8.61
$10.39
$11.94
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$11.40
$16.29
$21.18
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
57/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +27.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.2%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+20.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 17%
2025 sits 1,060% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.1% a year for the price and +1.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.5%
Watch CTOWY, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (13 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- China Tower Corp Ltd (CHWRF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Net Profit Surges 30. ...
- GSMA welcomes China Tower to advance AI-ready mobile infrastructure
- China Tower Corp Ltd (CHWRF) Full Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Robust Profit Growth Amid ...
- China Tower GAAP EPS of RMB 0.67, revenue of RMB 100.41B
Compare China Tower Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 80941 | HK$67.30 | HK$114.85 | +71% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $45.87 | $70.27 | +53% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $162.98 | $272.88 | +67% |
| AT&T Inc T | $24.48 | $51.11 | +109% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,741 | ₹1,883 | +8% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.16 | ¥8.36 | +36% |
| Saudi Telecom Company 7010 | 43.22 SAR | 41.80 SAR | −3% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 | 4.28 SGD | 2.16 SGD | −50% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 639.00 | CHF 505.18 | −21% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.83 | A$4.43 | −8% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is China Tower Corporation (CTOWY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.42 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $14.93, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CTOWY?
Our model-based fair value for China Tower Corporation is $16.42 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $14.93.
What is the quality score of CTOWY?
China Tower Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.42 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.07, optimistic scenario $21.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Tower Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.42, about +10% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $14.93 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $14.07, optimistic scenario $21.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
China Tower Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 101B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does China Tower Corporation pay a dividend?
China Tower Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Tower Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +11.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.8 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CTOWY use?
Our models discount China Tower Corporation at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Tower Corporation that is +11.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Tower Corporation (CTOWY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Tower Corporation grew +3.8 % a year. The price currently implies +11.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Tower Corporation (+11.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.66 %: that much free cash flow China Tower Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Tower Corporation it is $16.42 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $14.93. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Tower Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, CTOWY trades below its calculated fair value: price $14.93, fair value $16.42, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTOWY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.42). For China Tower Corporation the two are $1.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Tower Corporation worth?
The market values China Tower Corporation at about $26.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $14.93; our models calculate a fair value of $16.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTOWY?
Our models span a range for China Tower Corporation: cautious scenario $14.07, base $16.42, optimistic $21.86 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $14.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTOWY?
China Tower Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Tower Corporation (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTOWY from its 52-week high?
China Tower Corporation trades at $14.93, about 6% below its 52-week high of $15.87 and 35% above the low of $11.06 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Tower Corporation?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Tower Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $14.93, calculated fair value $16.42 (+10%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTOWY calculated?
We run China Tower Corporation through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Tower Corporation currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $14.93. Our model-based fair value is $16.42, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Tower Corporation right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of China Tower Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The market capitalisation of China Tower Corporation is $26.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Tower Corporation is 1.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
Earnings per share at China Tower Corporation are $0.9800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The dividend yield of China Tower Corporation is 5.1% (payout 77.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The net margin of China Tower Corporation is 11.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Tower Corporation is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Tower Corporation is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
The operating margin of China Tower Corporation is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
Revenue at China Tower Corporation is growing +1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Tower Corporation (CTOWY)?
Earnings per share at China Tower Corporation are growing +13.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Tower Corporation (CTOWY) carry?
The net debt of China Tower Corporation is 78.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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