CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock TRY 3.23, price TRY 12.38, upside -73.9%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range 1.34 TRY – 18.49 TRY · fair‑value band 2.97 TRY – 4.14 TRY · the 12.38 TRY price screens above the 3.23 TRY fair value. As of Oct 28, 2026.
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CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in production, marketing and sale of chrome, marble, lead, zinc, copper, silver, gold, and magnesite ores. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD) currently trades at 12.38 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.23 TRY, 73.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 4.46 TRY per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the 12.38 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.7700 TRY, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.97 TRY (bear) to 4.14 TRY (bull), the price of 12.38 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 3.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 290M TRY in FY2021, a compound +83.4%/yr. Reported net income was 141M TRY in FY2025, compounding +35.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 46.4B TRY (≈ $931M) Small · P/E ratio 176.9 · P/S ratio 7.63 · EPS (TTM) 0.0700 TRY · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0% · Operating margin 30.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −74%, CVKMD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.6400 TRY to 6.04 TRY). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear2.97 TRYFair Value 3.23 TRYBull4.14 TRY
Price 12.38 TRY · Upside -73.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0579 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+78.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−20.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.8% a year for the price.
Compare CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 376 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Below median
Fair Value upside−73.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.9% · Above median
Return on assets0.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)6.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)30.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)77.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)176.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.22× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)11.94× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow37.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA35.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 82
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CVKMD
Frequently asked questions
Is CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.23 TRY versus a price of 12.38 TRY, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CVKMD?
Our model-based fair value for CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 3.23 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.38 TRY.
What is the quality score of CVKMD?
CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.23 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.97 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.14 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.23 TRY, about −74% upside versus a price of 12.38 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.97 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.14 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +13.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +78.3 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CVKMD use?
Our models discount CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at 14.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.52, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. that is +13.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. grew +78.3 % a year. The price currently implies +13.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (+13.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.06 %: that much free cash flow CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 3.23 TRY per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 12.38 TRY. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, CVKMD trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.38 TRY, fair value 3.23 TRY, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CVKMD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.38 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.23 TRY). For CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 9.15 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 46.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 12.38 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.23 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CVKMD?
Our models span a range for CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 2.97 TRY, base 3.23 TRY, optimistic 4.14 TRY per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 12.38 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CVKMD?
CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 176.9 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.23 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.2, P/S 11.9, EV/EBITDA 35.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
Balance-sheet figures for CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CVKMD from its 52-week high?
CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 12.38 TRY, about 33% below its 52-week high of 18.49 TRY and 94% above the low of 6.39 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.23 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Boliden AB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 12.38 TRY, calculated fair value 3.23 TRY (−74%), Quality Score 37/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CVKMD calculated?
We run CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.23 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 12.38 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.23 TRY, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.14 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
The market capitalisation of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 46.4B TRY (≈ $931M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 7.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
Earnings per share at CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are 0.0700 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 176.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
The net margin of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 4.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
The operating margin of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 30.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
Revenue at CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing +77.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD)?
Earnings per share at CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing +95.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CVKMD) carry?
The net debt of CVK Maden Isletmeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 905M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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