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Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 26, 2026: fair value of Clearway Energy, Inc $39.19, price $40.43, upside -3.1%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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CE
Some data
Sep 30, 2026
Some data
Sep 30, 2026
Clearway Energy, Inc
CWEN-A · USLow PriorityQuality growthFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.
·Fair value $39.19 · Fairly valued (−3.1%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓4.4% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $29.54 to $85.51
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.98 – $41.10 · fair‑value band $29.54 – $85.51 · the $40.43 price screens above the $39.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.
Company profile
Clearway Energy, Inc. operates in the clean energy generation assets business in the United States. It operates through Flexible Generation and Renewables & Storage segments.
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Clearway Energy, Inc. operates in the clean energy generation assets business in the United States. It operates through Flexible Generation and Renewables & Storage segments. The company's portfolio comprises approximately 12.9 GW of gross capacity in 27 states, including approximately 10.1 GW of wind, solar, and battery energy storage systems; and approximately 2.8 GW of dispatchable combustion-based power generation assets included in the Flexible Generation segment that provide critical grid reliability services. The company was formerly known as NRG Yield, Inc. and changed its name to Clearway Energy, Inc. in August 2018. Clearway Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Princeton, New Jersey. Clearway Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Clearway Energy Group LLC.
Stock analysis
Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A) currently trades at $40.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.19, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $26.35 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the $40.43 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.27, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $29.54 (bear) to $85.51 (bull), the price of $40.43 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Clearway Energy, Inc reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $169M in FY2025, compounding +34.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $8.3B · P/E ratio 28.3 · P/S ratio 3.34 · EPS (TTM) $1.43 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 11.8% · Return on equity −3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −3%, CWEN-A screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $29.54
Fair Value $39.19
Bull $85.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$7.93
$8.58
$9.72
76
Owner Earnings
$20.54
$54.19
$106.06
71
FCF DCF
$0.3900
$21.71
$54.57
69
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.3900
$21.71
$54.57
69
Owner Earnings
$20.54
$54.19
$106.06
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3900
$23.44
$50.94
66
5Y P/E Exit
n/a
n/a
$0.2900
68
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$5.76
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.0300
$19.99
$47.72
59
10Y P/E Exit
n/a
n/a
$8.59
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$5.59
$20.64
$27.87
64
Lynch FV
$4.94
$7.06
$9.17
61
PEG = 1.0
$4.94
$7.06
$9.17
57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$15.30
$30.49
$46.17
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$15.30
$26.35
$32.18
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$11.10
$14.80
$18.51
63
P/S Multiple
$10.49
$13.98
$17.48
58
P/B Multiple
$10.49
$13.98
$17.48
55
EV/EBITDA
$4.27
$17.18
$30.09
61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.68
$6.27
$9.36
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.5600
$21.04
$52.01
67
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$7.93
$8.58
$9.72
76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$8.41
$12.02
$15.62
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
42/100
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Profitability
24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
68
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.1% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −3.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.34.2% vs 13.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 90% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.4% a year for the price and +6.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+18.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.4%
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Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- Clearway Energy, Inc. Announces Senior Leadership Changes
- Clearway Energy, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
- Clearway Energy Q1 Loss Wider Than Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
- Clearway Energy (CWEN) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 201 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Utilities sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Utilities
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.36 | ¥31.20 | +10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.45 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.75 | ¥4.45 | −54% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €23.42 | €14.06 | −40% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,297 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥14.86 | ¥16.35 | +10% |
| EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR | €12.99 | €3.53 | −73% |
| China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 | ¥3.61 | ¥2.40 | −34% |
| Public Power Corporation PPC | €22.96 | €7.44 | −68% |
| GD Power Development Co 600795 | ¥5.34 | ¥5.99 | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $39.19 versus the last price from Jun 26, 2026 of $40.43, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CWEN-A?
Our model-based fair value for Clearway Energy, Inc is $39.19 (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 26, 2026): $40.43.
What is the quality score of CWEN-A?
Clearway Energy, Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $39.19 (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $29.54, optimistic scenario $85.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Clearway Energy, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $39.19, about −3% upside versus the last price from Jun 26, 2026 of $40.43 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $29.54, optimistic scenario $85.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
Clearway Energy, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does Clearway Energy, Inc pay a dividend?
Clearway Energy, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Clearway Energy, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +19.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Sep 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CWEN-A use?
Our models discount Clearway Energy, Inc at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.92, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Clearway Energy, Inc that is +19.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Clearway Energy, Inc grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +19.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Clearway Energy, Inc (+19.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.54 %: that much free cash flow Clearway Energy, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Clearway Energy, Inc it is $39.19 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of $40.43. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Clearway Energy, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, CWEN-A trades above its calculated fair value: price $40.43, fair value $39.19, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CWEN-A?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($40.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($39.19). For Clearway Energy, Inc the two are $1.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Clearway Energy, Inc worth?
The market values Clearway Energy, Inc at about $8.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is $40.43; our models calculate a fair value of $39.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CWEN-A?
Our models span a range for Clearway Energy, Inc: cautious scenario $29.54, base $39.19, optimistic $85.51 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price $40.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CWEN-A?
Clearway Energy, Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.3 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $39.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.5, P/B 4.3, P/S 5.8, EV/EBITDA 14.7.
What is the PEG ratio of CWEN-A?
The PEG ratio of Clearway Energy, Inc is 3.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 30, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
Balance-sheet figures for Clearway Energy, Inc (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity −4.0%, debt of 4.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CWEN-A from its 52-week high?
Clearway Energy, Inc trades at $40.43, about 2% below its 52-week high of $41.10 and 56% above the low of $25.84 (as of Jun 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $39.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Clearway Energy, Inc?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Clearway Energy, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price $40.43, calculated fair value $39.19 (−3%), Quality Score 42/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CWEN-A calculated?
We run Clearway Energy, Inc through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $39.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Clearway Energy, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 26, 2026 and stands at $40.43. Our model-based fair value is $39.19, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Clearway Energy, Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($29.54 to $85.51). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A) come from?
Earnings per share at Clearway Energy, Inc grew +8.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.4 %, EBIT margin −7.3 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +18.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Clearway Energy, Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The market capitalisation of Clearway Energy, Inc is $8.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Clearway Energy, Inc is 3.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
Earnings per share at Clearway Energy, Inc are $1.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The dividend yield of Clearway Energy, Inc is 4.4% (payout 124%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The net margin of Clearway Energy, Inc is 11.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Clearway Energy, Inc is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Clearway Energy, Inc is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
The operating margin of Clearway Energy, Inc is 25.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
Revenue at Clearway Energy, Inc is growing +22.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A)?
Earnings per share at Clearway Energy, Inc are growing +297% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Clearway Energy, Inc (CWEN-A) carry?
The net debt of Clearway Energy, Inc is $9.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 25.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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