China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. $44.44, price $40.40, upside +10.0%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.92 – $53.17 · fair‑value band $26.71 – $78.24 · the $40.40 price screens below the $44.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in hydropower generation business in China, Portugal, Peru, Brazil, and Pakistan. The company operates the Three Gorges, Gezhouba, Xiluodu, Xiangjiaba, Wudongde, and Baihetan hydropower stations with an installed capacity of 71.695 MW.
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China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in hydropower generation business in China, Portugal, Peru, Brazil, and Pakistan. The company operates the Three Gorges, Gezhouba, Xiluodu, Xiangjiaba, Wudongde, and Baihetan hydropower stations with an installed capacity of 71.695 MW. It also engages in smart integrated energy; new energy; power distribution and sales; investment and financing; and pumped storage businesses, as well as overseas power station operation, maintenance, management, and consultation services. China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR (CYPC) currently trades at $40.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.44, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $33.50 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the $40.40 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.05, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $26.71 (bear) to $78.24 (bull), the price of $40.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR reported revenue of 86.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 55.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 34.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $989B · P/E ratio 0.2 · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) $2.17 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 40.0% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 10%, CYPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $26.71Fair Value $44.44Bull $78.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.8847 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.59% → 54%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+54.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +52.1% a year for the price and −0.1% for the forecasts.
Compare China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+9.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)41.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)49.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.91× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CYPC
Frequently asked questions
Is China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.44 versus a price of $40.40, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CYPC?
Our model-based fair value for China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is $44.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $40.40.
What is the quality score of CYPC?
China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $44.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $26.71, optimistic scenario $78.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $44.44, about +10% upside versus a price of $40.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $26.71, optimistic scenario $78.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 87.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR pay a dividend?
China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR would have to grow free cash flow by +54.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CYPC use?
Our models discount China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR that is +54.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR grew +8.3 % a year. The price currently implies +54.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR (+54.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.48 %: that much free cash flow China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR it is $44.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $40.40. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CYPC trades below its calculated fair value: price $40.40, fair value $44.44, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CYPC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($40.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($44.44). For China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR the two are $4.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR worth?
The market values China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR at about $989B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $40.40; our models calculate a fair value of $44.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CYPC?
Our models span a range for China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR: cautious scenario $26.71, base $44.44, optimistic $78.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $40.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CYPC?
China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $44.44 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.6%, debt of 0.91 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CYPC from its 52-week high?
China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR trades at $40.40, about 3% below its 52-week high of $41.80 and 11% above the low of $36.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $44.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $40.40, calculated fair value $44.44 (+10%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CYPC calculated?
We run China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $44.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $40.40. Our model-based fair value is $44.44, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($26.71 to $78.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR
How large is the market capitalisation of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The market capitalisation of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is $989B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is 0.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
Earnings per share at China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR are $2.17 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The dividend yield of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is 2.5% (payout 46.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The net margin of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is 40.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
The operating margin of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is 49.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
Revenue at China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is growing +6.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC)?
Earnings per share at China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR are growing +30.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. (CYPC) carry?
The net debt of China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd. GDR is 213B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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