Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $34.9M

Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range ($0.7600 to $1.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.95 – $7.32 · fair‑value band $0.7600 – $1.44 · the $2.98 price screens above the $1.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) currently trades at $2.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.15, implying the stock looks roughly 61.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Data I/O Corporation generated revenue of $18.6M at a net margin of -43.2%. Revenue declined 47.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.7600 (bear case) to $1.44 (bull case); at $2.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -61%, DAIO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Data I/O Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of programming and security deployment systems and services for electronic device manufacturers in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, and Korea.

Full company description

Data I/O Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of programming and security deployment systems and services for electronic device manufacturers in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, and Korea. The company offers PSV systems off-line automated programming systems; PSV7000 high-mix automated programming system; and PSV5000 compact automated programming system, as well as LumenX and FlashPAK III programming non-automated systems. It offers its products for automotive electronics, medical devices, industrial controls, military/aerospace, semiconductor, consumer products, internet of things, wireless devices, edge AI, EMS and contract manufacturers, and programming centers industries. The company markets and sells its products to original equipment manufacturers in automotive and consumer electronics, internet of things, and industrial, as well as electronic manufacturing service contract manufacturers through direct sales, indirect sales representatives, and distributors. Data I/O Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Data I/O Corporation reported revenue of $21.5M in FY2025 versus $25.8M in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.2M in FY2025.

DAIO screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.