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DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of DPM Metals Inc $53.89, price $38.74, upside +39.1%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
DPM Metals Inc
DPMLF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $53.89 · Undervalued (+39.1%)
✓Quality 71/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 44.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.4% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 90/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.70 – $50.93 · fair‑value band $30.13 – $70.06 · the $38.74 price screens below the $53.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador.
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DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador. The company was formerly known as Dundee Precious Metals Inc. and changed its name to DPM Metals Inc. in September 2025. DPM Metals Inc. is based in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF) currently trades at $38.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.89, implying the stock looks roughly 28.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $79.30 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the $38.74 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.80, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $30.13 (bear) to $70.06 (bull), the price of $38.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
DPM Metals Inc reported revenue of $950M in FY2025 versus $641M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $369M in FY2025, compounding +15.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $7.2B · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 5.90 · EPS (TTM) $2.55 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 38.8% · Return on equity 25.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 39%, DPMLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $30.13
Fair Value $53.89
Bull $70.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.81 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$47.87
$72.51
$149.34
76
Growth DCF
$45.09
$79.30
$146.24
75
Residual Income
$11.27
$14.29
$21.42
75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$47.87
$72.51
$149.34
76
Owner Earnings
$33.05
$70.56
$146.41
71
5Y Revenue Exit
$18.83
$24.80
$36.77
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$28.73
$44.81
$76.17
73
5Y P/E Exit
$30.98
$60.43
$99.52
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$27.64
$43.75
$49.57
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$34.90
$64.58
$113.01
66
10Y P/E Exit
$36.51
$69.32
$120.85
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$11.36
$79.21
$111.16
63
Lynch FV
$32.51
$46.44
$60.37
61
PEG = 1.0
$32.51
$46.44
$60.37
57
EPV
$17.74
$20.19
$22.30
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$21.30
$28.40
$35.50
63
P/S Multiple
$4.84
$6.45
$8.06
58
P/B Multiple
$21.30
$28.40
$35.50
55
EV/EBIT
$22.65
$29.46
$36.28
66
EV/EBITDA
$20.45
$26.53
$32.62
67
EV/Revenue
$6.72
$8.66
$10.59
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$5.82
$7.80
$11.64
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$45.09
$79.30
$146.24
75
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$11.27
$14.29
$21.42
75
ROIC Compounder
$22.54
$32.37
$38.62
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$37.73
$53.89
$70.06
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
71/100
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Profitability
56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
72
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.8% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 45%
2025 sits 91% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.9% a year for the price and +14.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+47.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+12.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+10.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.3%
Watch DPMLF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- DPM Metals Appoints Peter Brady as Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Affairs
- DPM Metals (TSX:DPM) Extends Brevene Discovery, Is The Stock Fully Valued?
- Should New Brevene Porphyry South Drilling and Metallurgy Results Require Action From DPM Metals (TSX:DPM) Investors?
- DPM Metals Expands Brevene Porphyry South Discovery with New High-Grade Intercepts
Compare DPM Metals Inc with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $245.81 | $270.39 | +10% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 | ¥29.07 | ¥23.61 | −19% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | $46.14 | $59.13 | +28% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $53.89 versus a price of $38.74, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DPMLF?
Our model-based fair value for DPM Metals Inc is $53.89 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $38.74.
What is the quality score of DPMLF?
DPM Metals Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $53.89 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $30.13, optimistic scenario $70.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DPM Metals Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $53.89, about +39% upside versus a price of $38.74 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $30.13, optimistic scenario $70.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
DPM Metals Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does DPM Metals Inc pay a dividend?
DPM Metals Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DPM Metals Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -0.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.3 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DPMLF use?
Our models discount DPM Metals Inc at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DPM Metals Inc that is -0.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at DPM Metals Inc grew +9.3 % a year. The price currently implies -0.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DPM Metals Inc (-0.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.78 %: that much free cash flow DPM Metals Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DPM Metals Inc it is $53.89 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $38.74. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DPM Metals Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, DPMLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $38.74, fair value $53.89, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DPMLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($38.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($53.89). For DPM Metals Inc the two are $15.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DPM Metals Inc worth?
The market values DPM Metals Inc at about $7.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $38.74; our models calculate a fair value of $53.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DPMLF?
Our models span a range for DPM Metals Inc: cautious scenario $30.13, base $53.89, optimistic $70.06 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $38.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is DPMLF from its 52-week high?
DPM Metals Inc trades at $38.74, about 24% below its 52-week high of $50.93 and 88% above the low of $20.63 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $53.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DPM Metals Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DPM Metals Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $38.74, calculated fair value $53.89 (+39%), Quality Score 71/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DPMLF calculated?
We run DPM Metals Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $53.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. DPM Metals Inc currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $38.74. Our model-based fair value is $53.89, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DPM Metals Inc right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range ($30.13 to $70.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of DPM Metals Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The market capitalisation of DPM Metals Inc is $7.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of DPM Metals Inc is 15.2. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DPM Metals Inc is 5.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
Earnings per share at DPM Metals Inc are $2.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The dividend yield of DPM Metals Inc is 0.4% (payout 6.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The net margin of DPM Metals Inc is 38.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DPM Metals Inc is 25.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DPM Metals Inc is 15.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
The operating margin of DPM Metals Inc is 59.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
Revenue at DPM Metals Inc is growing +115% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF)?
Earnings per share at DPM Metals Inc are growing +295% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does DPM Metals Inc (DPMLF) hold?
DPM Metals Inc holds more cash than debt, $485M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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