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Design Therapeutics, Inc (DSGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $777M

DT Design Therapeutics, Inc logo Design Therapeutics, Inc DSGN · US
Price$13.99
Fair Value$3.36
Upside-76.0%
Quality44/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.22 – $4.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $15.31 to $3.36 (−78.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.22 to $4.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.31 $1.99 Fair Value $3.36 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.99 – $28.31 · fair‑value band $2.22 – $4.20 · the $13.99 price screens above the $3.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Design Therapeutics, Inc (DSGN) currently trades at $13.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.36, implying the stock looks roughly 76.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $33.0K. It earns a return on equity of -31.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $15.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.22 (bear case) to $4.20 (bull case); at $13.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 320% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -76%, DSGN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.70 $2.28 $3.40 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.70 $2.28 $3.40 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $33.0K
Return on equity -31.3%
Free cash flow −$54.6M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-1.20
Net cash $15.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Design Therapeutics, Inc. a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, research, designs, develops, and commercializes small molecule therapeutic drugs for the treatment of genetic diseases in the United States. The company utilizes its GeneTAC platform to design and develop therapeutic candidates for inherited diseases caused by nucleotide repeat expansion.

Full company description

Design Therapeutics, Inc. a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, research, designs, develops, and commercializes small molecule therapeutic drugs for the treatment of genetic diseases in the United States. The company utilizes its GeneTAC platform to design and develop therapeutic candidates for inherited diseases caused by nucleotide repeat expansion. Its lead product candidates for potentially disease-modifying treatment comprises Friedreich Ataxia, a monogenic, autosomal recessive, progressive multi-system disease that affects organ systems dependent on mitochondrial function that brings to neurological, cardiac, and metabolic dysfunction; Myotonic Dystrophy Type-1, a dominantly-inherited, monogenic progressive neuromuscular disease affecting skeletal muscle, heart, brain, and other organs; Fuchs Endothelial Corneal Dystrophy, a genetic eye disease characterized by bilateral degeneration of corneal endothelial cells and progressive loss of vision; and Huntington's Disease, a dominantly inherited, monogenic neurodegenerative disease characterized by movement, cognitive, and psychiatric disorders. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Design Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$69.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2020)
$226
Latest YoY
−100.0%
Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$35.5M
FY22 −$58.6M
FY23 −$66.9M
FY24 −$49.6M
FY25 −$69.8M

DSGN screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Design Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSGN

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Above median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -21% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Design Therapeutics, Inc (DSGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.36 versus a price of $13.99, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DSGN?
Our model-based fair value for Design Therapeutics, Inc is $3.36 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.99.
What is the quality score of DSGN?
Design Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Design Therapeutics, Inc (DSGN)?
Design Therapeutics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.0K (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DSGN?
The net profit margin of Design Therapeutics, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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