Duke Capital Limited (DUKE) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GB · Market cap 135M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from £0.2380 (bear) to £0.3910 (bull), base £0.3145. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.1892 – £0.2930 · fair‑value band £0.2380 – £0.3910 · the £0.2675 price screens below the £0.3145 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Duke Capital Limited (DUKE) currently trades at £0.2675, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.3145, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Duke Capital Limited generated revenue of £15.0M at a net margin of 31.9%. Revenue grew 15.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at £91.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.2380 (bear case) to £0.3910 (bull case); at £0.2675, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 18%, DUKE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (£0.7600) versus Asset-Based (£0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when DUKE reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Duke Capital Limited is a private equity firm specializing in Management Buyouts, buy-and-build strategies, mid-market, minority buyouts, restructuring investments & royalty financing in small and medium size businesses. It does not invest in start-ups, tight margin business models. It does not make venture capital investments.
Full company description
Duke Capital Limited is a private equity firm specializing in Management Buyouts, buy-and-build strategies, mid-market, minority buyouts, restructuring investments & royalty financing in small and medium size businesses. It does not invest in start-ups, tight margin business models. It does not make venture capital investments. The firm makes investments in every sector with preference towards manufacturing, services, healthcare & IT services. It makes equity investments between £5 million ($6.36 million) and 30 million ($38.18 million) having EBITDA between £2 million ($2.54 million) and £10 million ($12.72 million). It also finances through loan sizes between £10 million ($12.72 million) and £30 million ($38.18 million). It focuses on intellectual property assets and stable, cash flowing businesses, no debt or low levels of debt, and owners not wanting to give up control or existing management wanting to become owners through an MBO. It seeks to provides capital to companies in exchange for rights to a small percentage of future revenues. The firm prefers government and/or regulatory licensed businesses. It prefers board representation in its portfolio companies. It seeks to have minority stakes in its portfolio companies. Duke Capital Limited was founded in 2015 and is based in Guernsey, Guernsey with additional offices in Guernsey, Guernsey and London, United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Duke Capital Limited reported revenue of £28.6M in FY2026 versus £27.1M in FY2022, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was £11.0M in FY2026, compounding −14.3%/yr from FY2022.
Watch DUKE: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 971 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,136 | $465.75 | -59% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 423.70 | kr 847.40 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
Compare Duke Capital Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Duke Capital Limited (DUKE) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of DUKE?
What is the quality score of DUKE?
What is the revenue of Duke Capital Limited (DUKE)?
What is the net profit margin of DUKE?
Does Duke Capital Limited pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Duke Capital Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.