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DXP Enterprises, Inc (DXPE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.6B

DE DXP Enterprises, Inc logo DXP Enterprises, Inc DXPE · US
Price$192.36
Fair Value$93.70
Upside-51.3%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $43.44 – $150.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $93.36 to $93.70 (+0.4%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +21.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($150.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($43.44 to $150.13). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$198.21 $22.22 Fair Value $93.70 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.22 – $198.21 · fair‑value band $43.44 – $150.13 · the $192.36 price screens above the $93.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

DXP Enterprises, Inc (DXPE) currently trades at $192.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $93.70, implying the stock looks roughly 51.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, DXP Enterprises, Inc generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.4%. Net debt stands at $678M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $43.44 (bear case) to $150.13 (bull case); at $192.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 155% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -51%, DXPE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.14 $35.62 $78.97 80
Residual Income $36.78 $51.72 $224.65 76
Rev-Margin DCF $48.03 $116.48 $202.78 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.36 $38.18 $86.82 38
Owner Earnings $33.97 $82.16 $160.78 31
5Y Revenue Exit $48.03 $119.16 $216.46 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $62.78 $148.99 $257.16 41
5Y P/E Exit $35.27 $93.34 $159.17 38
10Y Revenue Exit $30.14 $91.86 $187.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $42.95 $113.00 $219.90 37
10Y P/E Exit $25.25 $73.56 $141.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.89 $168.88 $230.94 54
Lynch FV $43.44 $62.05 $80.67 50
PEG = 1.0 $43.44 $62.05 $80.67 46
EPV $52.60 $66.14 $77.83 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0500 $0.1000 $0.1500 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0500 $0.0900 $0.1100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $90.08 $120.10 $150.13 63
P/S Multiple $72.92 $97.23 $121.53 58
P/B Multiple $72.92 $97.23 $121.53 55
EV/EBIT $112.25 $160.73 $209.21 53
EV/EBITDA $102.45 $147.67 $192.89 54
EV/Revenue $70.61 $115.10 $159.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.07 $21.54 $32.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.14 $35.62 $78.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF $48.03 $116.48 $202.78 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $36.78 $51.72 $224.65 76
ROIC Compounder $59.99 $90.41 $130.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $72.20 $103.14 $134.09 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($115.10) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.5%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 18.4%
Free cash flow $54.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 29.3
More key figures
Operating margin 8.3%
EPS (TTM) $5.34
EPS growth (YoY) -2.0%
Net debt $678M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DXP Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in distributing maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products, equipment, and services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Service Centers, Supply Chain Services, and Innovative Pumping Solutions.

Full company description

DXP Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in distributing maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products, equipment, and services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Service Centers, Supply Chain Services, and Innovative Pumping Solutions. The Service Centers segment offers MRO products, equipment, and integrated services, including technical expertise and logistics capabilities. It also provides a range of MRO products in the rotating equipment, bearing, power transmission, hose, fluid power, metal working, fastener, industrial supply, safety products, and safety services categories. This segment serves customers in the oil and gas, general industrial, manufacturing, chemical, food and beverage, refining, water and wastewater, fabrication and construction, and other industries. Its Supply Chain Services segment manages procurement and inventory optimization and management, store-room management, transaction consolidation and control, vendor oversight and procurement cost optimization, productivity improvement, and customized reporting services. The company's programs include SmartAgreement, a procurement solution for various MRO categories; SmartBuy, an on-site or centralized MRO procurement solution; SmartSource, an on-site procurement and storeroom management solution; SmartStore, an e-Catalog solution; SmartVend, an industrial dispensing solution; and SmartServ, an integrated service pump solution. The Innovative Pumping Solutions segment fabricates and assembles custom-made pump packages; remanufactures pumps; and manufactures branded private label pumps. The company was formerly known as INDEX INC and changed its name to DXP Enterprises, Inc. in May 1997. DXP Enterprises, Inc. was founded in 1908 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DXP Enterprises, Inc reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was $88.7M in FY2025, compounding +52.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.0B
Latest YoY
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+10.1%
Revenue +16.0%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $2.0B
Net income +52.3%/yr
FY21 $16.5M
FY22 $48.2M
FY23 $68.8M
FY24 $70.5M
FY25 $88.7M

DXPE screens 51% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DXP Enterprises, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DXPE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.64× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 48.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.55× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 48 · sector 19
PAST 74 · sector 35
HEALTH 18 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,376 $625.61 -55%
Fastenal Company FAST $45.49 $20.64 -55%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $232.02 $151.92 -35%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $326.71 $213.01 -35%
Watsco, Inc WSO $385.16 $268.10 -30%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$232.22 C$127.90 -45%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $329.35 $191.65 -42%
Finning International Inc FTT C$102.50 C$76.38 -25%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 329.20 kr 156.35 -53%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $44.66 $49.47 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DXP Enterprises, Inc (DXPE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $93.70 versus a price of $192.36, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DXPE?
Our model-based fair value for DXP Enterprises, Inc is $93.70 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $192.36.
What is the quality score of DXPE?
DXP Enterprises, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DXP Enterprises, Inc (DXPE)?
DXP Enterprises, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DXPE?
The net profit margin of DXP Enterprises, Inc is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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