Energy Action Ltd (EAX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Energy Action Ltd A$0.48, price A$0.43, upside +12.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0700 – A$0.5600 · fair‑value band A$0.3485 – A$0.6800 · the A$0.4250 price screens below the A$0.4760 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Energy Action Limited engages in the provision of energy and carbon emissions procurement and management services to business customers in Australia.
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Energy Action Limited engages in the provision of energy and carbon emissions procurement and management services to business customers in Australia. It is involved in energy procurement, which offers broking or consulting using a range of procurement methodologies, including auctions, tenders, progressive and structured purchasing, and corporate power purchase agreements; energy management consisting of client energy contracts and environmental reporting, such as account management, liaison with its retailer, validating the bill, ensuring the tariff, and helping to understand energy and emissions profile. The company also engages in solar PV and battery procurement comprising sourcing and contracting of solar and battery project suppliers for business customers looking to implement solar and battery solutions. Energy Action Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Energy Action Ltd (EAX) currently trades at A$0.4250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.4760, implying the stock looks roughly 10.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.8000 per share, and 13 of the 22 models we run sit above the A$0.4250 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0700, and 9 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.3485 (bear) to A$0.6800 (bull), the price of A$0.4250 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Energy Action Ltd reported revenue of A$12.8M in FY2025 versus A$14.3M in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$2.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$17.4M (≈ $12.2M) · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 1.68 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0400 · Net margin 15.8% · Return on equity 40.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% · Operating margin 16.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 12%, EAX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.3485Fair Value A$0.4760Bull A$0.6800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0400 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.1% (2018) → 10.2% (2024)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)40% · Top 25%
Return on assets13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.42× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Energy Action Ltd (EAX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.4760 versus a price of A$0.4250, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EAX?
Our model-based fair value for Energy Action Ltd is A$0.4760 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.4250.
What is the quality score of EAX?
Energy Action Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.4760 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.3485, optimistic scenario A$0.6800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Energy Action Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.4760, about +12% upside versus a price of A$0.4250 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3485, optimistic scenario A$0.6800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Energy Action Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$13.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Energy Action Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -3.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EAX use?
Our models discount Energy Action Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.33, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Energy Action Ltd that is -3.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Energy Action Ltd (EAX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Energy Action Ltd grew -7.5 % a year. The price currently implies -3.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Energy Action Ltd (EAX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Energy Action Ltd (-3.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.45 %: that much free cash flow Energy Action Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Energy Action Ltd it is A$0.4760 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.4250. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Energy Action Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, EAX trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.4250, fair value A$0.4760, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EAX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.4250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.4760). For Energy Action Ltd the two are A$0.0510 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Energy Action Ltd worth?
The market values Energy Action Ltd at about A$17.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.4250; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.4760 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EAX?
Our models span a range for Energy Action Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.3485, base A$0.4760, optimistic A$0.6800 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.4250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EAX?
Energy Action Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.4760 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Energy Action Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 40.1%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EAX from its 52-week high?
Energy Action Ltd trades at A$0.4250, about 24% below its 52-week high of A$0.5600 and 33% above the low of A$0.3200 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.4760 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Energy Action Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Energy Action Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.4250, calculated fair value A$0.4760 (+12%), Quality Score 65/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EAX calculated?
We run Energy Action Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.4760, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Energy Action Ltd currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.4250. Our model-based fair value is A$0.4760, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Energy Action Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (A$0.3485 to A$0.6800) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Energy Action Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The market capitalisation of Energy Action Ltd is A$17.4M (≈ $12.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Energy Action Ltd is 1.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Earnings per share at Energy Action Ltd are A$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The net margin of Energy Action Ltd is 15.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Energy Action Ltd is 40.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Energy Action Ltd is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The operating margin of Energy Action Ltd is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Revenue at Energy Action Ltd is growing +20.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Earnings per share at Energy Action Ltd are growing −41.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Energy Action Ltd (EAX) carry?
The net debt of Energy Action Ltd is A$2.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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