Energy Action Ltd (EAX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Energy Action Ltd stock A$0.23, price A$0.39, that is 40.3% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0700 – A$0.5600 · fair‑value band A$0.1700 – A$0.2900 · the A$0.3850 price screens above the A$0.2300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Follow Energy Action in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Energy Action is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Energy Action Limited engages in the provision of energy and carbon emissions procurement and management services to business customers in Australia.
Show moreShow less
It is involved in energy procurement, which offers broking or consulting using a range of procurement methodologies, including auctions, tenders, progressive and structured purchasing, and corporate power purchase agreements; energy management consisting of client energy contracts and environmental reporting, such as account management, liaison with its retailer, validating the bill, ensuring the tariff, and helping to understand energy and emissions profile.
The company also engages in solar PV and battery procurement comprising sourcing and contracting of solar and battery project suppliers for business customers looking to implement solar and battery solutions. Energy Action Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Energy Action Ltd (EAX) currently trades at A$0.3850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2300, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.4250 per share, and 5 of the 21 models we run sit above the A$0.3850 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at A$0.1400, and 16 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1700 (bear) to A$0.2900 (bull), the price of A$0.3850 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Energy Action Ltd reported revenue of A$12.2M in FY2026 versus A$10.4M in FY2022, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$451K in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap A$15.3M (≈ $10.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 38.5 · P/S ratio 1.25 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −40%, EAX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.1700Fair Value A$0.2300BullA$0.2900
Price A$0.3850 · Downside -40.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0036 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.6% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−6% → 7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 231 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−40.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.4% · Below median
Return on assets4.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)3.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−15.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)38.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.25× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)12.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 33
PAST (return on equity)37· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)84· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Energy Action Ltd (EAX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2300 versus a price of A$0.3850, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EAX?
Our model-based fair value for Energy Action Ltd is A$0.2300 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.3850.
What is the quality score of EAX?
Energy Action Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2300 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1700, optimistic scenario A$0.2900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Energy Action Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2300, about 40% lower versus a price of A$0.3850 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1700, optimistic scenario A$0.2900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Energy Action Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$12.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Energy Action Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.2 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EAX use?
Our models discount Energy Action Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Energy Action Ltd that is -0.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Energy Action Ltd (EAX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Energy Action Ltd grew -3.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Energy Action Ltd (EAX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Energy Action Ltd (-0.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.96 %: that much free cash flow Energy Action Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Energy Action Ltd it is A$0.2300 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.3850. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Energy Action Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, EAX trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.3850, fair value A$0.2300, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EAX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.3850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2300). For Energy Action Ltd the two are A$0.1550 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Energy Action Ltd worth?
The market values Energy Action Ltd at about A$15.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.3850; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EAX?
Our models span a range for Energy Action Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1700, base A$0.2300, optimistic A$0.2900 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price A$0.3850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EAX?
Energy Action Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.5 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.2300 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 11.1. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 14.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Energy Action Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EAX from its 52-week high?
Energy Action Ltd trades at A$0.3850, about 31% below its 52-week high of A$0.5600 and 22% above the low of A$0.3150 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Energy Action Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Energy Action Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price A$0.3850, calculated fair value A$0.2300 (−40%), Quality Score 49/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EAX calculated?
We run Energy Action Ltd through 21 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.2300 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Energy Action Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.3850. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2300, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Energy Action Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Energy Action Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The market capitalisation of Energy Action Ltd is A$15.3M (≈ $10.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Energy Action Ltd is 1.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Earnings per share at Energy Action Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The net margin of Energy Action Ltd is 3.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Energy Action Ltd is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Energy Action Ltd is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
The operating margin of Energy Action Ltd is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Revenue at Energy Action Ltd is growing −15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Energy Action Ltd (EAX)?
Earnings per share at Energy Action Ltd are growing −41.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Energy Action Ltd (EAX) carry?
The net debt of Energy Action Ltd is A$2.9M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Energy Action Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Energy Action Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 4, 2026