Ebos Group Ltd (EBO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ebos Group Ltd stock A$19.29, price A$17.40, upside +10.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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HealthcareAU · Home New Zealand · ISIN NZEBOE0001S6
EGBroad dataNov 1, 2026
Ebos Group Ltd
EBO · AU
Fairly valued,weak quality
The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$14.96 – A$38.67 · fair‑value band A$11.19 – A$25.08 · the A$17.40 price screens below the A$19.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 1, 2026.
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EBOS Group Limited engages in the marketing, wholesale, and distribution of healthcare, medical, pharmaceutical, and animal care products in Australia, Southeast Asia, and New Zealand. It operates through Healthcare and Animal Care segments.
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The company provides healthcare logistics; medication management solutions; pharmacy management software; loyalty, generics, compliance, business intelligence, and store software services; and health communications, programs, and consultancy services.
It also offers community based health care services and programs; vitamins, minerals and supplements, herbal and fruit teas, and natural toothpastes, as well as functional foods, including molasses and manuka honey; Pharmacy Choice, a five step integrated retail program for independent pharmacies; and healthSAVE, a community pharmacy banner that helps members drive their retail businesses.
Further, it offers healthcare distribution, warehousing, clinical trial management, and product registration services; clinical trial logistics; aesthetic healthcare devices, medical-grade cosmeceuticals, and injectables; and surgical devices and medical consumables.
Additionally, the company provides pet nutrition, treats, clean-up, and grooming products and accessories; and wholesales veterinary products. The company was formerly known as Early Bros Dental & Surgical Supplies Ltd. and changed its name to EBOS Group Limited in 1986.
EBOS Group Limited was incorporated in 1922 and is headquartered in Docklands, Australia.
Stock analysis
Ebos Group Ltd (EBO) currently trades at A$17.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$19.29, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$22.71 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$17.40 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$8.27, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$11.19 (bear) to A$25.08 (bull), the price of A$17.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ebos Group Ltd reported revenue of 12.8B NZD in FY2026 versus 11.9B NZD in FY2022, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 214M NZD in FY2026, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$3.6B (≈ $2.5B) Mid · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) A$1.15 · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 11%, EBO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$11.19Fair Value A$19.29BullA$25.08
Price A$17.40 · Upside +10.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0841 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.1% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.2% vs 2.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in NZD, New Zealand: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.0% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.2% a year for the price and +2.7% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: EBOS draws on broad scale across eight distribution facilities yet remains limited by thin margins and weak pricing power with little evidence of a durable moat.
Main risk: Higher ongoing depreciation and interest costs from the modernized distribution network could keep pressuring underlying profits and limit cash flow improvement.
EBOS has completed its major distribution center renewal program, with all eight facilities now operational after a year of revenue growth but lower underlying profits from higher depreciation and interest. Management reaffirmed unchanged FY27 EBITDA guidance at the recent annual meeting, expecting growth to skew to the second half. Will the modernized network deliver stronger cash flows and returns or will cost volatility continue to limit the upside?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Distribution · 78 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside+10.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)8.3% · Above median
Return on assets2.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)2.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)7.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)15.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.92× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ebos Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EBO
Frequently asked questions
Is Ebos Group Ltd (EBO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$19.29 versus a price of A$17.40, about +11% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of EBO?
Our model-based fair value for Ebos Group Ltd is A$19.29 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$17.40.
What is the quality score of EBO?
Ebos Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$19.29 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$11.19, optimistic scenario A$25.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ebos Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$19.29, about +11% upside versus a price of A$17.40 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$11.19, optimistic scenario A$25.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
Ebos Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.5B NZD (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
Does Ebos Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Ebos Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 5.24% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ebos Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +11.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.3 % per year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EBO use?
Our models discount Ebos Group Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ebos Group Ltd that is +11.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ebos Group Ltd (EBO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ebos Group Ltd grew +5.3 % a year. The price currently implies +11.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ebos Group Ltd (+11.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.62 %: that much free cash flow Ebos Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ebos Group Ltd it is A$19.29 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of A$17.40. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ebos Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, EBO trades below its calculated fair value: price A$17.40, fair value A$19.29, a gap of about +11% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EBO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$17.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$19.29). For Ebos Group Ltd the two are A$1.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ebos Group Ltd worth?
The market values Ebos Group Ltd at about A$3.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is A$17.40; our models calculate a fair value of A$19.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EBO?
Our models span a range for Ebos Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$11.19, base A$19.29, optimistic A$25.08 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price A$17.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EBO?
Ebos Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$19.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.4, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
What is the PEG ratio of EBO?
The PEG ratio of Ebos Group Ltd is 4.39 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 1, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ebos Group Ltd (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EBO from its 52-week high?
Ebos Group Ltd trades at A$17.40, about 28% below its 52-week high of A$24.23 and 16% above the low of A$14.96 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$19.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ebos Group Ltd?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value McKesson Corporation, Cencora, Inc, Cardinal Health, Inc, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ebos Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price A$17.40, calculated fair value A$19.29 (+11%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EBO calculated?
We run Ebos Group Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$19.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. Ebos Group Ltd currently trades 10% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was A$17.40. Our model-based fair value is A$19.29, about +11% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ebos Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$11.19 to A$25.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO) come from?
Earnings per share at Ebos Group Ltd grew +4.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.4 %, EBIT margin −6.1 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ebos Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The market capitalisation of Ebos Group Ltd is A$3.6B (≈ $2.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ebos Group Ltd is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
Earnings per share at Ebos Group Ltd are A$1.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The dividend yield of Ebos Group Ltd is 5.2% (payout 79.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The net margin of Ebos Group Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ebos Group Ltd is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ebos Group Ltd is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
The operating margin of Ebos Group Ltd is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
Revenue at Ebos Group Ltd is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ebos Group Ltd (EBO)?
Earnings per share at Ebos Group Ltd are growing −7.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ebos Group Ltd (EBO) carry?
The net debt of Ebos Group Ltd is 1.7B NZD (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 8.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 1, 2026