Aquafil S.p.A (ECNL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €123M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +1.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 142% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€3.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.15 – €7.95 · fair‑value band €3.08 – €3.85 · the €1.40 price screens below the €3.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Aquafil S.p.A (ECNL) currently trades at €1.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.39, implying the stock looks roughly 142.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Aquafil S.p.A generated revenue of €509M at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.6%. Net debt stands at €193M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €3.08 (bear case) to €3.85 (bull case); at €1.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 142%, ECNL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€3.94) versus Asset-Based (€1.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aquafil S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, reprocessing, and sale of yarns in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, Asia, and Oceania.
Full company description
Aquafil S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, reprocessing, and sale of yarns in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, Asia, and Oceania. The company offers bulk continuous filament for textile floor covering, such as polyamide 6-based yarn, partly petroleum-based, and partly from regenerated ECONYL; nylon textile filament fibers for textile and clothing use, including polyamide 6 and 66 fibers, and Dryarn polypropylene microfibers for men's and women's hosiery, as well as knitwear and non-run fabrics for underwear, sportswear, and special technical applications; and polymers and polyamide 6 for engineering plastics and injection molding. It is also involved in industrial chemical plant design and supply. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Arco, Italy. Aquafil S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Aquafin Holding S.p.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aquafil S.p.A reported revenue of €521M in FY2025 versus €570M in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€4.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥78.00 | ¥11.85 | -85% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥8.08 | ¥7.87 | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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