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Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS TRY 3.62, price TRY 2.62, upside +38.2%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · TR · ISIN TRAEGSER91F0

ES Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS

EGSER · IS

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value 3.62 TRY · Undervalued (+38.2%)
Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +48.6 %/yr in TRY)
Quality 29/100
Loss-making · -11.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 21/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

5.60 TRY 1.36 TRY Fair Value 3.62 TRY Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.36 TRY – 5.60 TRY · fair‑value band 2.70 TRY – 5.42 TRY · the 2.62 TRY price screens below the 3.62 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells floor and wall tiles in Turkey and internationally. The company also offers glazed porcelain, floor, wall, and color body products.

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Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells floor and wall tiles in Turkey and internationally. The company also offers glazed porcelain, floor, wall, and color body products. Its products are used in bathroom wall and floor, kitchen countertop and floor, corridor, and decorative; garden/terrace floor and front wall; and facede, floor, industrial, and pool areas. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey. Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. operates as a subsidiary of Ibrahim Polat Holding A.S.

Stock analysis

Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER) currently trades at 2.62 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.62 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 27.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2.70 TRY (bear) to 5.42 TRY (bull), the price of 2.62 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 4.5B TRL in FY2025 versus 1.1B TRL in FY2021, a compound +43.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B TRL in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9B TRY (≈ $38.4M) · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) −0.7800 TRY · Net margin −25.9% · Return on equity −26.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% · Operating margin 6.3% · Revenue (TTM) 5.0B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 38%, EGSER screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.70 TRY Fair Value 3.62 TRY Bull 5.42 TRY
Price 2.62 TRY · Upside +38.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 1.38 TRY 1.85 TRY 2.76 TRY 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.38 TRY 1.85 TRY 2.76 TRY 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 92
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +30.1% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.5% (2019) → −7.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 253 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +38.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −11.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 20.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)84 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 8
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $85.04 $74.79 −12%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 64.66 CHF 33.08 −49%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $484.30 $207.85 −57%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,155 ₹4,719 −58%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $245.00 $131.66 −46%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥43.06 ¥28.26 −34%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,191 ₹1,245 −61%
Amrize AG AMRZ $38.22 $35.08 −8%
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$36.98 A$8.06 −78%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥17.51 ¥28.02 +60%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGSER

Frequently asked questions

Is Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.62 TRY versus a price of 2.62 TRY, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EGSER?
Our model-based fair value for Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 3.62 TRY (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.62 TRY.
What is the quality score of EGSER?
Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.62 TRY (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.70 TRY, optimistic scenario 5.42 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.62 TRY, about +38% upside versus a price of 2.62 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.70 TRY, optimistic scenario 5.42 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 3.62 TRY per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 2.62 TRY. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, EGSER trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.62 TRY, fair value 3.62 TRY, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGSER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.62 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.62 TRY). For Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 1.00 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 1.9B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 2.62 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.62 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EGSER?
Our models span a range for Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 2.70 TRY, base 3.62 TRY, optimistic 5.42 TRY per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 2.62 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −26.1%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGSER from its 52-week high?
Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 2.62 TRY, about 31% below its 52-week high of 3.77 TRY and 6% above the low of 2.48 TRY (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.62 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 2.62 TRY, calculated fair value 3.62 TRY (+38%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EGSER calculated?
We run Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.62 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 2.62 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.62 TRY, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.70 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.70 TRY to 5.42 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
The market capitalisation of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.9B TRY (≈ $38.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
Earnings per share at Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are −0.7800 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
The net margin of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −25.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −26.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
The operating margin of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
Revenue at Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing +20.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER)?
Earnings per share at Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing −69.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER) generate?
The free cash flow of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −555M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (EGSER) carry?
The net debt of Ege Seramik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.5B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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