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Elisa Oyj (ELISA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · FI · Market cap €6.0B

EO Elisa Oyj ELISA · HE
Price€35.14
Fair Value€34.73
Upside-1.2%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.72% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range €23.26 – €48.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (€23.26 to €48.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€50.01 €34.14 Fair Value €34.73 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €34.14 – €50.01 · fair‑value band €23.26 – €48.65 · the €35.14 price screens above the €34.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Elisa Oyj (ELISA) currently trades at €35.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €34.73, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Elisa Oyj generated revenue of €2.2B at a net margin of 15.3%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.2%. Net debt stands at €1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €23.26 (bear case) to €48.65 (bull case); at €35.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -1%, ELISA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €18.92 €27.56 €39.81 80
Residual Income €12.09 €14.47 €39.07 76
Rev-Margin DCF €17.82 €29.94 €43.41 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €18.13 €27.23 €40.84 38
Owner Earnings €15.18 €23.21 €35.22 31
5Y Revenue Exit €17.82 €29.55 €44.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €25.60 €43.02 €63.47 41
5Y P/E Exit €21.48 €35.89 €50.98 38
10Y Revenue Exit €17.02 €27.22 €39.24 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €22.43 €35.99 €51.98 37
10Y P/E Exit €19.94 €31.35 €43.48 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €14.48 €28.32 €35.45 54
EPV €14.76 €18.18 €21.13 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €20.86 €28.83 €36.71 70
DDM Multi-Stage €20.86 €28.70 €37.52 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €35.14 €46.86 €58.57 63
P/S Multiple €27.16 €36.21 €45.26 58
P/B Multiple €20.47 €27.30 €34.12 55
EV/EBIT €27.90 €39.51 €51.12 53
EV/EBITDA €35.92 €50.20 €64.48 54
EV/Revenue €19.48 €30.80 €42.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.90 €5.23 €7.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €18.92 €27.56 €39.81 80
Rev-Margin DCF €17.82 €29.94 €43.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €12.09 €14.47 €39.07 76
ROIC Compounder €15.25 €19.62 €24.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €25.27 €36.10 €46.93 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€36.21) versus Asset-Based (€5.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €2.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.3%
Net margin 15.3%
Return on equity 25.2%
Free cash flow €410M FY2025
P/E ratio 19.2
More key figures
Operating margin 22.6%
EPS (TTM) €2.14
Dividend yield 5.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.7%
Net debt €1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elisa Oyj provides telecommunications, information and communication technology (ICT), and online services in Finland, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Consumer Customers and Corporate Customers.

Full company description

Elisa Oyj provides telecommunications, information and communication technology (ICT), and online services in Finland, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Consumer Customers and Corporate Customers. The company offers consumers with telecommunications and communications services, including fixed and mobile subscriptions, supplementary digital services, cable TV subscriptions, and entertainment services, as well as IT and communication solutions. It provides sedApta, supply chain management and operational planning software; camLine, an automation, MES, and data analytics software; CalcuQuote, a integrated software for sourcing, quoting, procurement, and supplier collaboration; and TenForce, a platform to strengthen safety culture and operational oversight across complex industrial environments. It also offers Polystar, an intelligent network analytics and optimization software. The company markets its solutions under Elisa IndustrIQ brand. Further, it provides Gridle, an AI-powered energy flexibility optimization service; and Elisa Kotiakku, that smooths out spikes in electricity spot prices and stores electricity generated by solar panels. In addition, the company offers automation solutions for network management and operation for mobile operators, industrial IoT solutions and distributed energy solutions. It serves consumers, corporates, and public administration organizations. Elisa Oyj was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elisa Oyj reported revenue of €2.3B in FY2025 versus €2.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was €342M in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€2.3B
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+2.4%
Revenue +3.1%/yr
FY21 €2.0B
FY22 €2.1B
FY23 €2.2B
FY24 €2.2B
FY25 €2.3B
Net income −0.1%/yr
FY21 €344M
FY22 €374M
FY23 €375M
FY24 €358M
FY25 €342M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elisa Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELISA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 252 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.04× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 32 · sector 30
FUTURE 0 · sector 15
PAST 100 · sector 28
HEALTH 48 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 72

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elisa Oyj (ELISA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €34.73 versus a price of €35.14, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ELISA?
Our model-based fair value for Elisa Oyj is €34.73 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €35.14.
What is the quality score of ELISA?
Elisa Oyj has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elisa Oyj (ELISA)?
Elisa Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELISA?
The net profit margin of Elisa Oyj is about 15.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Elisa Oyj pay a dividend?
Elisa Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.79% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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