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Elma Electronic AG (ELMN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CH · Market cap CHF 299M

EE Elma Electronic AG ELMN · SW
PriceCHF 1,310
Fair ValueCHF 285.96
Upside-78.2%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.15% dividend yield
Trails peers (1/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 200.17 – CHF 371.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 371.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 200.17 to CHF 371.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 1,320 CHF 322.79 Fair Value CHF 285.96 Dec 2009 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 322.79 – CHF 1,320 · fair‑value band CHF 200.17 – CHF 371.74 · the CHF 1,310 price screens above the CHF 285.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Elma Electronic AG (ELMN) currently trades at CHF 1,310, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 285.96, implying the stock looks roughly 78.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Elma Electronic AG generated revenue of CHF 176M at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at CHF 19.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 200.17 (bear case) to CHF 371.74 (bull case); at CHF 1,310, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -78%, ELMN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (CHF 18.21 to CHF 556.48). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income CHF 197.12 CHF 195.30 CHF 177.04 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 111.11 CHF 133.09 CHF 150.92 72
Gordon GGM CHF 13.93 CHF 18.80 CHF 22.98 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 123.36 CHF 258.61 CHF 327.34 54
PEG = 1.0 CHF 38.60 CHF 55.15 CHF 71.69 46
EPV CHF 111.11 CHF 133.09 CHF 150.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 13.93 CHF 18.80 CHF 22.98 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 13.93 CHF 18.21 CHF 22.20 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 272.11 CHF 362.81 CHF 453.52 63
P/S Multiple CHF 231.29 CHF 308.39 CHF 385.49 58
P/B Multiple CHF 231.29 CHF 308.39 CHF 385.49 55
EV/EBIT CHF 389.10 CHF 542.80 CHF 696.49 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 399.36 CHF 556.48 CHF 713.59 54
EV/Revenue CHF 238.82 CHF 372.03 CHF 505.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 138.01 CHF 184.94 CHF 276.02 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 197.12 CHF 195.30 CHF 177.04 76
ROIC Compounder CHF 111.11 CHF 133.09 CHF 150.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 200.17 CHF 285.96 CHF 371.74 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 362.81) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 18.21). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 176M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.7%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow −CHF 17.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 72.5
More key figures
Operating margin 1.5%
EPS (TTM) CHF 18.08
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.3%
Net debt CHF 19.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elma Electronic AG manufactures and sells electronic packaging products for the embedded systems market worldwide. It offers backplanes, cabinets, chassis platforms, embedded boards, embedded computing systems, enclosures and components, power solutions, and rotary switches.

Full company description

Elma Electronic AG manufactures and sells electronic packaging products for the embedded systems market worldwide. It offers backplanes, cabinets, chassis platforms, embedded boards, embedded computing systems, enclosures and components, power solutions, and rotary switches. The company also provides conformal coating, front panels, and online configurator services. It serves aerospace, defense, artificial intelligence, industrial automation, medical, science and research, test and measurement, and transportation industries. Elma Electronic AG was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Wetzikon, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elma Electronic AG reported revenue of CHF 176M in FY2025 versus CHF 149M in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 4.1M in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 28/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 176M
Latest YoY
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Revenue +4.2%/yr
FY21 CHF 149M
FY22 CHF 155M
FY23 CHF 167M
FY24 CHF 178M
FY25 CHF 176M
Net income −13.9%/yr
FY21 CHF 7.5M
FY22 CHF 4.2M
FY23 CHF 5.0M
FY24 CHF 8.5M
FY25 CHF 4.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.0 pp

of which total revenue +4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +6.5 pp
Tax rate +0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ELMN screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elma Electronic AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELMN

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 72.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.10× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 38.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 26 · sector 26
HEALTH 74 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elma Electronic AG (ELMN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 285.96 versus a price of CHF 1,310, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELMN?
Our model-based fair value for Elma Electronic AG is CHF 285.96 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 1,310.
What is the quality score of ELMN?
Elma Electronic AG has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elma Electronic AG (ELMN)?
Elma Electronic AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 176M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELMN?
The net profit margin of Elma Electronic AG is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Elma Electronic AG pay a dividend?
Elma Electronic AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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