Elopak ASA (ELO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · NO · Market cap 9.7B NOK
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from kr 3.89 to kr 42.96 (+1,004.4%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from kr 32.22 (bear) to kr 53.70 (bull), base kr 42.96. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 11.42 – kr 53.85 · fair‑value band kr 32.22 – kr 53.70 · the kr 37.10 price screens below the kr 42.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Elopak ASA (ELO) currently trades at kr 37.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 42.96, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Elopak ASA generated revenue of 1.2B NOK at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 264M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 32.22 (bear case) to kr 53.70 (bull case); at kr 37.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 16%, ELO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 5.74) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Elopak ASA manufactures and supplies paper-based packaging system solutions for liquid products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, Americas, Germany, Canada, Netherlands, Norway, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Elopak ASA manufactures and supplies paper-based packaging system solutions for liquid products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, Americas, Germany, Canada, Netherlands, Norway, the United States, and internationally. It offers Pure-Pak cartons for chilled and aseptic liquid food; D-PAK cartons for non food products for personal and home care; and filling equipment. The company also provides roll fed packaging material, as well as research and development support, after sales, technical training, and maintenance support services. Further, it offers machines and equipment through spare part webshop. Elopak ASA was founded in 1957 and is based in Oslo, Norway.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Elopak ASA reported revenue of kr 1.2B in FY2025 versus kr 855M in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 61.6M in FY2025, compounding +16.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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