Electro-Sensors, Inc (ELSE) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $27.2M
Electro-Sensors, Inc
ELSE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $2.99 to $1.73 (−42.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.69 – $7.74 · fair‑value band $1.30 – $2.17 · the $7.74 price screens above the $1.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Electro-Sensors, Inc (ELSE) currently trades at $7.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.73, implying the stock looks roughly 77.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Electro-Sensors, Inc generated revenue of $10.5M at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $10.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.30 (bear case) to $2.17 (bull case); at $7.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -78%, ELSE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($4.01) versus Earnings-Based ($1.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Electro-Sensors, Inc. manufactures and sells industrial production monitoring and process control systems. The company offers monitoring and control systems that measure machine production and operation rates, as well as regulate the speed of related machines in production processes.
Full company description
Electro-Sensors, Inc. manufactures and sells industrial production monitoring and process control systems. The company offers monitoring and control systems that measure machine production and operation rates, as well as regulate the speed of related machines in production processes. Its speed monitoring systems include alarm systems; tachometers; various products that measure production counts or rates, such as parts, gallons, or board feet; and other devices that translate impulses from the sensors into alarm signals. The company's temperature application products consist of bearing, gear box, and motor temperature monitoring sensors. It also offers production monitoring devices that include a belt alignment and slide gate position monitors; vibration monitoring products; and tilt switches. In addition, the company provides hazard monitoring systems, such as Electro-Sentry, which integrates its sensors for monitoring temperature, belt alignment, and shaft speed with programmable control logic; HazardPRO, a wireless hazard technology monitoring system; and HazardPRO site system manager software. It serves grain, feed, milling, bulk materials, manufacturing, food products, ethanol, power generation, and other processing industries. The company sells its products through internal sales team, manufacturer's representatives, and distributors in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Chile, United Kingdom, Egypt, India, Australia, China, the Republic of Korea, Vietnam, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore. Electro-Sensors, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Electro-Sensors, Inc reported revenue of $10.1M in FY2025 versus $8.6M in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was $306K in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.
ELSE screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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