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European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of European Metals Holdings Ltd A$0.09, price A$0.23, upside -60.9%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000EMH5

EM Thin data Sep 23, 2026

European Metals Holdings Ltd

EMH · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0900 · Strongly overvalued (−61%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −18.6 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/6)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$2.15 A$0.1050 Fair Value A$0.0900 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1050 – A$2.15 · fair‑value band A$0.0700 – A$0.1400 · the A$0.2300 price screens above the A$0.0900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

European Metals Holdings Limited operates as the exploration and development company in the Czech Republic. It holds interest in the Cinovec lithium projects located in the Czech Republic. The company was formerly known as Equamineral Holdings Limited and changed its name to European Metals Holdings Limited in February 2014.

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European Metals Holdings Limited operates as the exploration and development company in the Czech Republic. It holds interest in the Cinovec lithium projects located in the Czech Republic. The company was formerly known as Equamineral Holdings Limited and changed its name to European Metals Holdings Limited in February 2014. European Metals Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH) currently trades at A$0.2300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 155.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0700 (bear) to A$0.1400 (bull), the price of A$0.2300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

European Metals Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$394K in FY2026 versus A$1.1M in FY2022, a compound −22.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$8.2M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$60.6M (≈ $42.6M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Return on equity −24.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.7% · Operating margin −534% · Revenue (TTM) A$394K · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.7% · Free cash flow −A$1.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −61%, EMH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0700 Fair Value A$0.0900 Bull A$0.1400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1400 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1400 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−54.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +41.0% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−238.5% (2021) → −847.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EMH screens 156% overvalued. Compare with Vale S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 458 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Above median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −62% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.32× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.87 −30%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.81 ¥21.74 +22%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$16.85 A$34.49 +105%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹590.50 ₹649.55 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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European Metals Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0900 −156%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "European Metals Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMH

Frequently asked questions

Is European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0900 versus a price of A$0.2300, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMH?
Our model-based fair value for European Metals Holdings Ltd is A$0.0900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2300.
What is the quality score of EMH?
European Metals Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0700, optimistic scenario A$0.1400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the European Metals Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0900, about −61% upside versus a price of A$0.2300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0700, optimistic scenario A$0.1400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
European Metals Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$394K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For European Metals Holdings Ltd it is A$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2300. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is European Metals Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, EMH trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2300, fair value A$0.0900, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EMH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0900). For European Metals Holdings Ltd the two are A$0.1400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is European Metals Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values European Metals Holdings Ltd at about A$60.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EMH?
Our models span a range for European Metals Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0700, base A$0.0900, optimistic A$0.1400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
Balance-sheet figures for European Metals Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −24.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EMH from its 52-week high?
European Metals Holdings Ltd trades at A$0.2300, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.4400 and 24% above the low of A$0.1850 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to European Metals Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Fortescue Ltd, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is European Metals Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2300, calculated fair value A$0.0900 (−61%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EMH calculated?
We run European Metals Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. European Metals Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.2300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0900, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with European Metals Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0700 to A$0.1400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of European Metals Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
The market capitalisation of European Metals Holdings Ltd is A$60.6M (≈ $42.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
Earnings per share at European Metals Holdings Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of European Metals Holdings Ltd is −24.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of European Metals Holdings Ltd is −7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
The operating margin of European Metals Holdings Ltd is −534% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH)?
Revenue at European Metals Holdings Ltd is growing −61.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH) generate?
The free cash flow of European Metals Holdings Ltd is −A$1.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does European Metals Holdings Ltd (EMH) carry?
The net debt of European Metals Holdings Ltd is A$451K (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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