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Eurobank S.A (ERBKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $63.6B

ES Eurobank S.A logo Eurobank S.A ERBKY · US
Price$10.75
Fair Value$8.61
Upside-19.9%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 44.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $6.46 – $10.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $8.63 to $8.61 (−0.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +10.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$17.66 $7.23 Fair Value $8.61 Mar 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $7.23 – $17.66 · fair‑value band $6.46 – $10.76 · the $10.75 price screens above the $8.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Eurobank S.A (ERBKY) currently trades at $10.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.61, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Eurobank S.A generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of 44.8%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 41.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.46 (bear case) to $10.76 (bull case); at $10.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -20%, ERBKY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $2.80 $3.38 $6.91 76
Gordon GGM $1.42 $2.95 $4.68 70
P/E Multiple $5.68 $7.57 $9.46 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.42 $2.95 $4.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.42 $2.36 $3.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.68 $7.57 $9.46 63
P/B Multiple $4.82 $6.43 $8.04 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.48 $1.98 $2.95 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.80 $3.38 $6.91 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.43) versus Asset-Based ($1.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.5%
Net margin 44.8%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow $2.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 41.1
More key figures
Operating margin 60.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.4300
EPS growth (YoY) +7.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Eurobank S.A. provides retail, corporate and private banking, asset management, treasury and capital market, and other services in Greece, Bulgaria, Cyprus, and Luxembourg. It operates through Retail, Corporate, Markets, International, and Investment Property.

Full company description

Eurobank S.A. provides retail, corporate and private banking, asset management, treasury and capital market, and other services in Greece, Bulgaria, Cyprus, and Luxembourg. It operates through Retail, Corporate, Markets, International, and Investment Property. The company offers current accounts, savings, deposits and investment savings products, credit and debit cards, consumer loans, small business banking, and mortgages, as well as overdrafts, loans and other credit facilities, foreign currency, and derivative products. It also provides custody and clearing services, cash management and trade service, and investment banking services, including corporate finance, and merger and acquisitions advice services. In addition, the company offers financial instruments trading and services to institutional investors, as well as specialized financial advice and intermediation services; and mutual fund products, institutional asset management, and equity brokerage services. Further, it is involved in investment property activities related to a portfolio of commercial real estate assets. Additionally, the company engages in the provision of business-to-business e-commerce, accounting, tax, sundry, leasing, factoring, investment banking, asset management, brokerage, informatics data processing services; real estate business and real estate services; fund management; insurance agency and brokerage services; general and life insurance; pension assurance intermediary business; and production and distribution of solar generated electric energy. Eurobank S.A. was founded in 1924 and is based in Athens, Greece. Eurobank S.A. was formerly a subsidiary of Eurobank Ergasias Services and Holdings S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eurobank S.A reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2022, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.4B
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.2%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY22 $2.7B
FY23 $2.8B
FY24 $3.2B
FY25 $3.4B
Net income +0.4%/yr
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.4B
FY25 $1.4B

ERBKY screens 20% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eurobank S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ERBKY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 20.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 39
FUTURE 43 · sector 44
PAST 55 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eurobank S.A (ERBKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.61 versus a price of $10.75, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ERBKY?
Our model-based fair value for Eurobank S.A is $8.61 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.75.
What is the quality score of ERBKY?
Eurobank S.A has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eurobank S.A (ERBKY)?
Eurobank S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ERBKY?
The net profit margin of Eurobank S.A is about 44.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 44.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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