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ESAFSFB Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · Market cap ₹21.5B

E ESAFSFB ESAFSFB · BSE
Price₹41.92
Fair Value₹76.95
Upside+83.6%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.3% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹52.49 – ₹105.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price +18.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 84% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹52.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹52.49 to ₹105.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

₹77.61 ₹19.90 Fair Value ₹76.95 Nov 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range ₹19.90 – ₹77.61 · fair‑value band ₹52.49 – ₹105.66 · the ₹41.92 price screens below the ₹76.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

ESAFSFB (ESAFSFB) currently trades at ₹41.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹76.95, implying the stock looks roughly 83.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ESAFSFB generated revenue of ₹18.2B at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 74.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.9%. Net debt stands at ₹10.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹52.49 (bear case) to ₹105.66 (bull case); at ₹41.92, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 84%, ESAFSFB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ₹99.47 ₹134.70 ₹180.05 67
EPV ₹84.72 ₹95.04 ₹104.08 59
EV/EBITDA ₹96.14 ₹120.60 ₹145.06 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ₹84.72 ₹95.04 ₹104.08 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT ₹99.40 ₹124.94 ₹150.49 53
EV/EBITDA ₹96.14 ₹120.60 ₹145.06 54
EV/Revenue ₹90.90 ₹120.11 ₹149.31 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹17.31 ₹23.20 ₹34.62 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ₹99.47 ₹134.70 ₹180.05 67

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (₹134.70) versus Asset-Based (₹23.20). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (67).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹18.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +74.2%
Net margin -0.3%
Return on equity -8.9%
Free cash flow −₹22.4B FY2025
Operating margin 18.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) -57.8%
Net debt ₹10.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ESAFSFB reported revenue of ₹25.1B in FY2025 versus ₹13.5B in FY2021, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹1.7B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹25.1B
Latest YoY
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+62.3%
Revenue +16.7%/yr
FY21 ₹13.5B
FY22 ₹21.2B
FY23 ₹28.1B
FY24 ₹25.2B
FY25 ₹25.1B
Net income
FY21 ₹547M
FY22 ₹3.0B
FY23 ₹4.3B
FY24 −₹5.2B
FY25 −₹1.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ESAFSFB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ESAFSFB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1088 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +84% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 74% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 34
FUTURE100 · sector 44
PAST0 · sector 41
HEALTH0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND34 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,150 IDR 6,067 IDR +46%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ESAFSFB overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹76.95 versus a price of ₹41.92, about +84% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ESAFSFB?
Our model-based fair value for ESAFSFB is ₹76.95 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹41.92.
What is the quality score of ESAFSFB?
ESAFSFB has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ESAFSFB?
ESAFSFB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹18.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ESAFSFB?
The net profit margin of ESAFSFB is about -0.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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