FAT Brands Inc (FABTQ) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $16.12 to $0.1214 (−99.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −52.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.1260 – $2.89 · fair‑value band $0.0561 – $0.2019 · the $0.1260 price screens above the $0.1214 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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FAT Brands Inc (FABTQ) currently trades at $0.1260, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1214, implying the stock looks roughly 3.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, FAT Brands Inc generated revenue of $574M at a net margin of -39.3%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0561 (bear case) to $0.2019 (bull case); at $0.1260, the current price sits within that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -4%, FABTQ screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
FAT Brands Inc., a multi-brand restaurant franchising company, acquires, develops, markets, and manages quick service, fast casual, casual dining, and polished casual dining restaurant concepts in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It owns restaurant brands, including Round Table Pizza, Marble Slab Creamery, Great American Cookies, Hot Dog on a Stick, Pretzelmaker, Fazoli's, Fatburger, Johnny Rockets, Elevation Burger, Yalla Mediterranean, Buffalo's Cafe and Buffalo's Express, Hurricane Grill & Wings, Ponderosa Steakhouse/Bonanza Steakhouse, Native Grill & Wings, Smokey Bones, and Twin Peaks. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. FAT Brands Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Fog Cutter Holdings, LLC. On January 26, 2026, FAT Brands Inc., along with its affiliates, filed a voluntary petition for reorganization under Chapter 11 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
FAT Brands Inc reported revenue of $593M in FY2024 versus $119M in FY2021, a compound +70.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$190M in FY2024.
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Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compass Group CPG | $32.13 | $13.98 | -56% |
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$13.17 | -45% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | C$27.68 | C$5.93 | -79% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $30.54 | $26.56 | -13% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $151.08 | $91.11 | -40% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$101.81 | C$47.95 | -53% |
| Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF | $77.57 | $43.31 | -44% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc D1RI34 | R$263.92 | R$39.74 | -85% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $41.53 | $48.96 | +18% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $179.77 | $128.38 | -29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.