McDonald's Corporation (MCDS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$278B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated today
Share price +3.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$23.07 – C$28.63 · fair‑value band C$6.82 – C$16.16 · the C$24.01 price screens above the C$10.84 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
✦ Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →Analysis
McDonald's Corporation (MCDS) currently trades at C$24.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.84, implying the stock looks roughly 54.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, McDonald's Corporation generated revenue of C$26.3B at a net margin of 32.0%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. Net debt stands at C$39.2B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 23.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$6.82 (bear case) to C$16.16 (bull case); at C$24.01, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -55%, MCDS screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
McDonald's Corporation reported revenue of C$26.9B in FY2025 versus C$23.2B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$8.6B in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.
Is MCDS fairly valued? → Check now
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compass Group CPG | $0.3198 | $0.1800 | -44% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | C$27.68 | C$7.44 | -73% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $28.18 | $14.95 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.74 | $59.42 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$101.34 | C$60.84 | -40% |
| Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF | $77.57 | $49.50 | -36% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc D1RI34 | R$265.92 | R$41.43 | -84% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $42.88 | $41.58 | -3% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $170.46 | $101.50 | -40% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc D2PZ34 | R$31.59 | R$19.12 | -39% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is McDonald's Corporation (MCDS) undervalued?
What is the fair value of MCDS?
What is the quality score of MCDS?
What is the revenue of McDonald's Corporation (MCDS)?
What is the net profit margin of MCDS?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Unlock the full McDonald's Corporation analysis, and try Pro free
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.