Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Franchetti S.p.A. €1.62, price €5.95, upside -72.9%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range €2.65 – €8.33 · fair‑value band €1.26 – €2.02 · the €5.95 price screens above the €1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Franchetti S.P.A. operates as a civil and environmental engineering company that offers inspection, analysis, and maintenance of bridges and complex transport networks. The company also undertakes interventions on existing structures; design of new buildings; and transport engineering solutions.
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Franchetti S.P.A. operates as a civil and environmental engineering company that offers inspection, analysis, and maintenance of bridges and complex transport networks. The company also undertakes interventions on existing structures; design of new buildings; and transport engineering solutions. It operates in Italy, Brazil, Canada, the United States, India, and Singapore. Franchetti S.P.A. was founded in 2013 and is based in Arzignano, Italy.
Stock analysis
Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH) currently trades at €5.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 268.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €2.84 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the €5.95 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €1.54, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.26 (bear) to €2.02 (bull), the price of €5.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Franchetti S.p.A. reported revenue of €7.4M in FY2025 versus €4.0M in FY2021, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was €855K in FY2025, compounding +6.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €56.1M · P/E ratio 65.6 · P/S ratio 7.59 · EPS (TTM) €0.0900 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −73%, FCH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.26Fair Value €1.62Bull €2.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0366 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+23.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 34%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)65.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.90× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)7.92× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA16.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Franchetti S.p.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FCH
Frequently asked questions
Is Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.62 versus a price of €5.95, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FCH?
Our model-based fair value for Franchetti S.p.A. is €1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.95.
What is the quality score of FCH?
Franchetti S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.26, optimistic scenario €2.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Franchetti S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.62, about −73% upside versus a price of €5.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.26, optimistic scenario €2.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
Franchetti S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €8.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Franchetti S.p.A. pay a dividend?
Franchetti S.p.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Franchetti S.p.A. it is €1.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €5.95. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Franchetti S.p.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FCH trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.95, fair value €1.62, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.62). For Franchetti S.p.A. the two are €4.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Franchetti S.p.A. worth?
The market values Franchetti S.p.A. at about €56.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €5.95; our models calculate a fair value of €1.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FCH?
Our models span a range for Franchetti S.p.A.: cautious scenario €1.26, base €1.62, optimistic €2.02 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €5.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FCH?
Franchetti S.p.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 65.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 7.9, EV/EBITDA 16.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Franchetti S.p.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.7%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FCH from its 52-week high?
Franchetti S.p.A. trades at €5.95, about 8% below its 52-week high of €6.50 and 36% above the low of €4.37 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Franchetti S.p.A.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Franchetti S.p.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €5.95, calculated fair value €1.62 (−73%), Quality Score 28/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FCH calculated?
We run Franchetti S.p.A. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Franchetti S.p.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €5.95. Our model-based fair value is €1.62, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Franchetti S.p.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Franchetti S.p.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
The market capitalisation of Franchetti S.p.A. is €56.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Franchetti S.p.A. is 7.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
Earnings per share at Franchetti S.p.A. are €0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 65.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
The dividend yield of Franchetti S.p.A. is 0.7% (payout 44.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
The net margin of Franchetti S.p.A. is 11.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Franchetti S.p.A. is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Franchetti S.p.A. is 15.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
The operating margin of Franchetti S.p.A. is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
Revenue at Franchetti S.p.A. is growing +42.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH)?
Earnings per share at Franchetti S.p.A. are growing −41.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH) generate?
The free cash flow of Franchetti S.p.A. is −€7.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Franchetti S.p.A. (FCH) carry?
The net debt of Franchetti S.p.A. is €2.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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