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First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $3.8B

FF First Financial Bancorp. logo First Financial Bancorp. FFBC · US
Price$33.66
Fair Value$31.67
Upside-5.9%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 30.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.84% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range $23.75 – $39.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.18 $15.64 Fair Value $31.67 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.64 – $36.18 · fair‑value band $23.75 – $39.58 · the $33.66 price screens above the $31.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC) currently trades at $33.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.67, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, First Financial Bancorp. generated revenue of $917M at a net margin of 30.4%. Revenue grew 32.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. Net debt stands at $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.75 (bear case) to $39.58 (bull case); at $33.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -6%, FFBC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $22.41 $24.43 $31.75 76
Gordon GGM $7.92 $15.78 $23.90 70
P/E Multiple $23.75 $31.67 $39.58 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.92 $15.78 $23.90 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.92 $13.64 $16.66 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.75 $31.67 $39.58 63
P/B Multiple $27.71 $36.95 $46.18 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.20 $17.68 $26.39 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $22.41 $24.43 $31.75 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($31.67) versus Dividend Discount ($13.64). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $917M
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.3%
Net margin 30.4%
Return on equity 10.3%
Free cash flow $317M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.8
More key figures
Operating margin 37.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.83
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.5%
Net debt $1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

First Financial Bancorp. operates as the bank holding company for First Financial Bank that provides commercial banking and banking-related services to individuals and businesses in Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, and Illinois.

Full company description

First Financial Bancorp. operates as the bank holding company for First Financial Bank that provides commercial banking and banking-related services to individuals and businesses in Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, and Illinois. The company offers checking and savings accounts; and accepts various deposit products, such as interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing accounts, time deposits, and cash management services for retail and commercial customers. It also provides real estate loans secured by residential property, such as one to four family residential housing units or commercial property comprising owner-occupied and/or investor income producing real estate consisting of apartments, shopping centers, and office buildings; commercial and industrial loans for various purposes, including inventory, receivables, and equipment, as well as equipment and leasehold improvement financing for franchisees; consumer loans, such as new and used vehicle loans, second mortgages on residential real estate and unsecured loans; and home equity lines of credit. In addition, the company offers secured commercial financing services to the insurance industry, registered investment advisors, certified public accountants, indirect auto finance companies, and restaurant franchisees. Further, it provides a range of trust and wealth management services, lease and equipment financing services, currency payments, foreign exchange hedging, commodities hedging, and other advisory products. First Financial Bancorp. was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Financial Bancorp. reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $655M in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was $256M in FY2025, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+6.4%
Revenue +17.8%/yr
FY21 $655M
FY22 $775M
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.3B
Net income +5.6%/yr
FY21 $205M
FY22 $218M
FY23 $256M
FY24 $229M
FY25 $256M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Financial Bancorp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FFBC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −6% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.19× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.13× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.12× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 41 · sector 41
HEALTH 91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.67 versus a price of $33.66, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FFBC?
Our model-based fair value for First Financial Bancorp. is $31.67 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $33.66.
What is the quality score of FFBC?
First Financial Bancorp. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC)?
First Financial Bancorp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $917M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FFBC?
The net profit margin of First Financial Bancorp. is about 30.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does First Financial Bancorp. pay a dividend?
First Financial Bancorp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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