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Founder Group (FGL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.0M

FG Founder Group logo Founder Group FGL · US
Price$0.7950
Fair Value$1.63
Upside+105.3%
Quality24/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -6.4% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.07 – $2.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −41.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 105% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.07 to $2.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (22 months)

$430.00 $0.7950 Fair Value $1.63 Oct 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

22‑month range $0.7950 – $430.00 · fair‑value band $1.07 – $2.04 · the $0.7950 price screens below the $1.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Founder Group (FGL) currently trades at $0.7950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.63, implying the stock looks roughly 105.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Founder Group generated revenue of $121M at a net margin of -6.4%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.8%. Net debt stands at $48.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.07 (bear case) to $2.04 (bull case); at $0.7950, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 105%, FGL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $1.88 $1.92 $1.95 54
NCAV (Graham) $0.4315 $0.5783 $0.8633 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $1.88 $1.92 $1.95 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4315 $0.5783 $0.8633 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.92) versus Asset-Based ($0.5783). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $121M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net margin -6.4%
Return on equity -32.8%
Free cash flow −$41.9M FY2025
Operating margin -2.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-6.67
Net debt $48.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Founder Group Limited provides engineering, procurement, construction, and commissioning solutions (EPCC) for solar projects and commercial and industrial solar projects in Malaysia. It operates through the Large-scale solar, and Commercial & Industrial segments.

Full company description

Founder Group Limited provides engineering, procurement, construction, and commissioning solutions (EPCC) for solar projects and commercial and industrial solar projects in Malaysia. It operates through the Large-scale solar, and Commercial & Industrial segments. The company offers engineering and design services for solar PV array, including inverters, transformers, and interconnection to the power grid; procurement of construction materials and equipment for the solar PV facilities, including solar PV modules and balance of systems; and construction services, including civil, structural, mechanical, and electrical works, installation, integration of equipment, and interconnection to the power grid. It also provides commissioning, including testing of equipment and systems and testing of the installed solar PV facilities. In addition, the company engages in the installation, testing, and commissioning of PV modules, inverters, DC cables, and related works; supply of PV mounting structures; piling work; and operation and maintenance services. Founder Group Limited was founded in 2021 and is based in Klang, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Founder Group reported revenue of $121M in FY2025 versus $25.2M in FY2021, a compound +48.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$121M
Latest YoY
+33.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.9%
Revenue +48.0%/yr
FY21 $25.2M
FY22 $63.5M
FY23 $148M
FY24 $90.3M
FY25 $121M
Net income
FY21 $1.9M
FY22 $3.9M
FY23 $7.1M
FY24 −$5.2M
FY25 −$7.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Founder Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FGL

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 842 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +105% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.58× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 15
FUTURE 45 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 71 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Founder Group (FGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.63 versus a price of $0.7950, about +105% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FGL?
Our model-based fair value for Founder Group is $1.63 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7950.
What is the quality score of FGL?
Founder Group has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Founder Group (FGL)?
Founder Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $121M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FGL?
The net profit margin of Founder Group is about -6.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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