Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Frontier Energy Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0970 – A$0.5850 · fair‑value band A$0.2890 – A$0.4845 · the A$0.2250 price screens below the A$0.3910 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Frontier Energy Limited, a renewable energy company, engages in the development of an integrated renewable energy facility in Australia. Its projects include the Waroona renewable energy project comprising 303 hectares of freehold land in the South-West region of Western Australia; and Bristol Springs project, a utility-scale renewable energy project.
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Frontier Energy Limited, a renewable energy company, engages in the development of an integrated renewable energy facility in Australia. Its projects include the Waroona renewable energy project comprising 303 hectares of freehold land in the South-West region of Western Australia; and Bristol Springs project, a utility-scale renewable energy project. The company was formerly known as Superior Lake Resources Limited and changed its name to Frontier Energy Limited in January 2022. Frontier Energy Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) currently trades at A$0.2250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3910, implying the stock looks roughly 42.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.2890 (bear) to A$0.4845 (bull), the price of A$0.2250 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Frontier Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$503K in FY2025 versus A$1.4K in FY2021, a compound +337.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.2M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 74%, FHE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.2890Fair Value A$0.3910Bull A$0.4845
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+230.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +45.2% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−194,812.5% (2020) → −888.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 208 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+78% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Frontier Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FHE
Frequently asked questions
Is Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3910 versus a price of A$0.2250, about +74% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FHE?
Our model-based fair value for Frontier Energy Ltd is A$0.3910 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2250.
What is the quality score of FHE?
Frontier Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.3910 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.2890, optimistic scenario A$0.4845. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Frontier Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.3910, about +74% upside versus a price of A$0.2250 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.2890, optimistic scenario A$0.4845. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Frontier Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$667K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Frontier Energy Ltd it is A$0.3910 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.2250. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Frontier Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, FHE trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2250, fair value A$0.3910, a gap of about +74% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FHE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.3910). For Frontier Energy Ltd the two are A$0.1660 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Frontier Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Frontier Energy Ltd at about A$239M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2250; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.3910 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FHE?
Our models span a range for Frontier Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.2890, base A$0.3910, optimistic A$0.4845 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.2250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Frontier Energy Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −6.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FHE from its 52-week high?
Frontier Energy Ltd trades at A$0.2250, about 34% below its 52-week high of A$0.3400 and 25% above the low of A$0.1800 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.3910 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Frontier Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Frontier Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.2250, calculated fair value A$0.3910 (+74%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FHE calculated?
We run Frontier Energy Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.3910, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Frontier Energy Ltd currently trades 74 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2250. Our model-based fair value is A$0.3910, about +74% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Frontier Energy Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.2890). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Frontier Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The market capitalisation of Frontier Energy Ltd is A$239M (≈ $168M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Earnings per share at Frontier Energy Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Frontier Energy Ltd is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Frontier Energy Ltd is −25.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The operating margin of Frontier Energy Ltd is −563% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Revenue at Frontier Energy Ltd is growing −16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +59.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) generate?
The free cash flow of Frontier Energy Ltd is −A$12.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) hold?
Frontier Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$5.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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