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Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Frontier Energy Ltd stock A$0.11, price A$0.20, that is 42.6% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Utilities AU · ISIN AU0000207912

FE Frontier Energy Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Frontier Energy Ltd

FHE · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 43% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +230.7 %/yr in AUD)
Revenue last quarter 84% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.1120 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 29/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/6)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.5850 A$0.0970 Fair Value A$0.1120 Oct 2020 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0970 – A$0.5850 · fair‑value band A$0.0840 – A$0.1400 · the A$0.1950 price screens above the A$0.1120 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Frontier Energy Limited, a renewable energy company, engages in the development of an integrated renewable energy facility in Australia.

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Its projects include the Waroona renewable energy project comprising 303 hectares of freehold land in the South-West region of Western Australia; and Bristol Springs project, a utility-scale renewable energy project.

The company was formerly known as Superior Lake Resources Limited and changed its name to Frontier Energy Limited in January 2022. Frontier Energy Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) currently trades at A$0.1950, while our estimate is A$0.1120, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0840 (bear) to A$0.1400 (bull), the price of A$0.1950 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Frontier Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$503K in FY2025 versus A$1.4K in FY2021, a compound +337.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$217M (≈ $149M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −25.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −2,145% · Revenue (TTM) −A$222K · Revenue growth (YoY) −83.8% · Free cash flow −A$12.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −43%, FHE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0840 Fair Value A$0.1120 Bull A$0.1400
Price A$0.1950 · Downside -42.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 80
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 52
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 20
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 8
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+230.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +45.2% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−194,812.5% (2020) → −888.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

FHE screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

Compare Frontier Energy Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 214 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −83.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.75× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
BEP BEP $30.08 $72.13 +140% vs FHE
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥15.55 ¥17.01 +9% vs FHE
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.67 ¥32.21 +9% vs FHE
VERBUND AG VER €72.40 €66.45 −8% vs FHE
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.33 €11.12 −52% vs FHE
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.92 ¥4.45 −59% vs FHE
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.86 €6.43 −73% vs FHE
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.81 €3.67 −73% vs FHE
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 144.70 kr 33.25 −77% vs FHE
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,449 ₹170.50 −88% vs FHE

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Frontier Energy Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Frontier Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FHE

Frequently asked questions

Is Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.1120 versus a price of A$0.1950, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FHE?
Our estimate for Frontier Energy Ltd is A$0.1120 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1950.
What is the quality score of FHE?
Frontier Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.1120 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0840, optimistic scenario A$0.1400. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Frontier Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.1120, about 43% lower versus a price of A$0.1950 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0840, optimistic scenario A$0.1400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Frontier Energy Ltd it is A$0.1120 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.1950.
Is Frontier Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, FHE trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1950, fair value A$0.1120, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FHE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1120). For Frontier Energy Ltd the two are A$0.0830 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Frontier Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Frontier Energy Ltd at about A$217M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1950; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1120 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FHE?
Our models span a range for Frontier Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0840, base A$0.1120, optimistic A$0.1400 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.1950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Frontier Energy Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −6.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FHE from its 52-week high?
Frontier Energy Ltd trades at A$0.1950, about 35% below its 52-week high of A$0.3000 and 11% above the low of A$0.1750 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1120 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Frontier Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Frontier Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.1950, calculated fair value A$0.1120 (−43%), Quality Score 29/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Frontier Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.1950. Our estimate is A$0.1120, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Frontier Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Frontier Energy Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The market capitalisation of Frontier Energy Ltd is A$217M (≈ $149M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Earnings per share at Frontier Energy Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Frontier Energy Ltd is −6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Frontier Energy Ltd is −25.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
The operating margin of Frontier Energy Ltd is −2,145% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) generate?
Frontier Energy Ltd generates revenue of −A$222K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE)?
Revenue at Frontier Energy Ltd is growing −83.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +59.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) generate?
The free cash flow of Frontier Energy Ltd is −A$12.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Frontier Energy Ltd (FHE) hold?
Frontier Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$5.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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