F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A (FILA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IT · Market cap €469M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €13.67 to €7.14 (−47.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.33 – €10.49 · fair‑value band €5.36 – €8.93 · the €10.09 price screens above the €7.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A (FILA) currently trades at €10.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.14, implying the stock looks roughly 29.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A generated revenue of €567M at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at €136M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.36 (bear case) to €8.93 (bull case); at €10.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -29%, FILA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€10.65) versus Dividend Discount (€2.83). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. produces and markets colouring, design, modelling, writing, and painting objects in Europe, North America, Central/South America, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. produces and markets colouring, design, modelling, writing, and painting objects in Europe, North America, Central/South America, Asia, and internationally. It offers, crayons, modelling clays, chalks, oil colors, acrylics, watercolors, paints, and paper products for the fine arts, school, and leisure sectors. The company provides its products under the GIOTTO, DAS, LYRA, Canson, Maimeri, Daler-Rowney Lukas, Ticonderoga, Pacon, Strathmore, Princeton, and Arches brands. It sells its products through its branches and sales offices to wholesalers, office and school suppliers, supermarkets, retailers, distributors, promotional, B2B operators, and others. F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Pero, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A reported revenue of €572M in FY2025 versus €656M in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was €14.5M in FY2025, compounding −21.5%/yr from FY2021.
FILA screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →
Peer Group
Business Equipment & Supplies · 73 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ricoh Company RICO | ¥15.33 | ¥17.99 | +17% |
| GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 | ¥10.08 | ¥6.90 | -32% |
| Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 | ¥21.45 | ¥30.05 | +40% |
| XGD Inc 300130 | ¥19.90 | ¥15.67 | -21% |
| DOMS Industries Limited DOMS | ₹2,260 | ₹782.96 | -65% |
| Hengbao Co 002104 | ¥9.20 | ¥1.66 | -82% |
| Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 | ¥6.99 | ¥1.75 | -75% |
| Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 | ¥7.30 | ¥3.11 | -57% |
| Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 | ¥6.00 | ¥1.73 | -71% |
| Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 | ¥11.92 | ¥21.12 | +77% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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