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Fukuoka Financial Group (FKKFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $8.2B

FF Fukuoka Financial Group logo Fukuoka Financial Group FKKFY · US
Price$23.83
Fair Value$19.01
Upside-20.2%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.40% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/11)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $14.25 – $23.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $19.32 to $19.01 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.80 $6.40 Fair Value $19.01 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.40 – $25.80 · fair‑value band $14.25 – $23.76 · the $23.83 price screens above the $19.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Fukuoka Financial Group (FKKFY) currently trades at $23.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.01, implying the stock looks roughly 20.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fukuoka Financial Group generated revenue of $441B at a net margin of 19.4%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $3.0T. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.25 (bear case) to $23.76 (bull case); at $23.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -20%, FKKFY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $2,337 $3,116 $3,895 63
Residual Income $2,370 $2,543 $2,890 61
P/B Multiple $3,003 $4,004 $5,005 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2,337 $3,116 $3,895 63
P/B Multiple $3,003 $4,004 $5,005 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,430 $1,916 $2,860 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2,370 $2,543 $2,890 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3,116) versus Asset-Based ($1,916). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $441B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin 19.4%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow $19.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 15.4
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) $1.41
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +13.6%
Net debt $3.0T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fukuoka Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services to individual and corporate customers. The company accepts various deposits, such as current deposits, ordinary and other demand deposits, time deposits, and negotiable certificates of deposit, as well as provides loan products.

Full company description

Fukuoka Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services to individual and corporate customers. The company accepts various deposits, such as current deposits, ordinary and other demand deposits, time deposits, and negotiable certificates of deposit, as well as provides loan products. It involves in securities, office work agent, loan guarantee, system development and operation, credit card services, collateral valuation, credit management and collection, consulting, insurance, research and development, investments and loans, and factoring businesses. In addition, the company engages in the M&A advisory service; promotion of SDGs business; provision of information processing and communications services businesses; research and development of banking system construction; research activities; and general trading company. Fukuoka Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Fukuoka Financial Group reported revenue of $655B in FY2026 versus $255B in FY2022, a compound +26.6%/yr. Reported net income was $90.6B in FY2026, compounding +13.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$655B
Latest YoY
+53.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+28.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+7.2%
Revenue +26.6%/yr
FY22 $255B
FY23 $307B
FY24 $271B
FY25 $427B
FY26 $655B
Net income +13.7%/yr
FY22 $54.1B
FY23 $31.2B
FY24 $61.2B
FY25 $72.1B
FY26 $90.6B

FKKFY screens 20% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fukuoka Financial Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FKKFY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 6 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 34 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fukuoka Financial Group (FKKFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.01 versus a price of $23.83, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FKKFY?
Our model-based fair value for Fukuoka Financial Group is $19.01 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $23.83.
What is the quality score of FKKFY?
Fukuoka Financial Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fukuoka Financial Group (FKKFY)?
Fukuoka Financial Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $441B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FKKFY?
The net profit margin of Fukuoka Financial Group is about 19.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fukuoka Financial Group pay a dividend?
Fukuoka Financial Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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