Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Fluence Energy Inc $1.03, price $7.61, upside -86.5%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range $3.61 – $37.61 · fair‑value band $0.6800 – $1.29 · the $7.61 price screens above the $1.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Fluence Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides energy storage and optimization software for renewables and storage applications in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It sells energy storage products with integrated hardware, software, and digital intelligence.
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Fluence Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides energy storage and optimization software for renewables and storage applications in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It sells energy storage products with integrated hardware, software, and digital intelligence. The company's energy storage products include Gridstack Pro, a large-scale front-of-the-meter application; Gridstack, a front-of-the-meter application; Ultrastack for critical system requirements of distribution and transmission networks; Smartstack, a split architecture design, incorporating embedded intelligence and higher energy density compared to traditional AC systems. The company also provides operational and maintenance services; and digital applications. It serves independent power producers, developers, conglomerates, utilities/load-serving entities, and commercial and industrial customers. Fluence Energy, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
Stock analysis
Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC) currently trades at $7.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.03, 86.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.6800 (bear) to $1.29 (bull), the price of $7.61 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Fluence Energy Inc reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $681M in FY2021, a compound +35.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$48.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.6B · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3100 · Net margin −2.1% · Return on equity −12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.4% · Operating margin −8.4% · Revenue (TTM) $2.6B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −86%, FLNC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.6800Fair Value $1.03Bull $1.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+70.5%
’19
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.3% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 196 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Above median
Fair Value upside−86.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−8.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.91× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
P/B6.04× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.00× · Cheaper than median
PEG3.14× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)39· sector 9
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)55· sector 67
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 45
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fluence Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLNC
Frequently asked questions
Is Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.03 versus a price of $7.61, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLNC?
Our model-based fair value for Fluence Energy Inc is $1.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.61.
What is the quality score of FLNC?
Fluence Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6800, optimistic scenario $1.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fluence Energy Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.03, about −86% upside versus a price of $7.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6800, optimistic scenario $1.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
Fluence Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fluence Energy Inc it is $1.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $7.61. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fluence Energy Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FLNC trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.61, fair value $1.03, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FLNC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.03). For Fluence Energy Inc the two are $6.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fluence Energy Inc worth?
The market values Fluence Energy Inc at about $2.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $7.61; our models calculate a fair value of $1.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FLNC?
Our models span a range for Fluence Energy Inc: cautious scenario $0.6800, base $1.03, optimistic $1.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $7.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of FLNC?
The PEG ratio of Fluence Energy Inc is 3.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fluence Energy Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −12.7%, debt of 0.91 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FLNC from its 52-week high?
Fluence Energy Inc trades at $7.61, about 76% below its 52-week high of $32.23 and 5% above the low of $7.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fluence Energy Inc?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fluence Energy Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $7.61, calculated fair value $1.03 (−86%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FLNC calculated?
We run Fluence Energy Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Fluence Energy Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $7.61. Our model-based fair value is $1.03, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fluence Energy Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.6800 to $1.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Fluence Energy Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
The market capitalisation of Fluence Energy Inc is $2.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fluence Energy Inc is 1.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
Earnings per share at Fluence Energy Inc are $−0.3100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
The net margin of Fluence Energy Inc is −2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fluence Energy Inc is −12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fluence Energy Inc is −9.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
The operating margin of Fluence Energy Inc is −8.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
Revenue at Fluence Energy Inc is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC)?
Earnings per share at Fluence Energy Inc are growing −63.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC) generate?
The free cash flow of Fluence Energy Inc is −$175M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC) hold?
Fluence Energy Inc holds more cash than debt, $300M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026