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Farmers & Merchants Bancorp (FMCB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $907M

FM Farmers & Merchants Bancorp logo Farmers & Merchants Bancorp FMCB · US
Price$1,380
Fair Value$1,758
Upside+27.4%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 39.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $1,318 – $2,197 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,397 $644.77 Fair Value $1,758 Nov 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $644.77 – $1,397 · fair‑value band $1,318 – $2,197 · the $1,380 price screens below the $1,758 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp (FMCB) currently trades at $1,380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1,758, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Farmers & Merchants Bancorp generated revenue of $238M at a net margin of 39.7%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 9.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1,318 (bear case) to $2,197 (bull case); at $1,380, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 27%, FMCB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $863.67 $1,054 $2,318 76
Gordon GGM $155.33 $279.90 $385.32 70
P/E Multiple $1,318 $1,758 $2,197 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $155.33 $279.90 $385.32 70
DDM Multi-Stage $155.33 $242.51 $299.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1,318 $1,758 $2,197 63
P/B Multiple $979.06 $1,305 $1,632 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $466.22 $624.73 $932.44 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $863.67 $1,054 $2,318 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1,305) versus Dividend Discount ($242.51). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $238M
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin 39.7%
Return on equity 15.1%
Free cash flow $96.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.6
More key figures
Operating margin 54.0%
EPS (TTM) $136.49
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Farmers & Merchants Bank of Central California that provides various banking services to businesses and individuals in the United States. The company provides deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, time certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts.

Full company description

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Farmers & Merchants Bank of Central California that provides various banking services to businesses and individuals in the United States. The company provides deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, time certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts. It also offers a range of lending products, such as commercial, commercial and residential real estate, real estate construction, agribusiness, and consumer loans, as well as equipment leases and credit card services; commercial products, including term loans, lines of credit and other working capital financing, and letters of credit; and financing products, such as automobile financing, home improvement, and home equity lines of credit. In addition, the company provides specialized services that include credit card programs for merchants, lockbox and other collection services, account reconciliation, investment sweep, online account access, and electronic funds transfers through domestic and international wire and automated clearinghouse; online banking services; and investment products, such as mutual funds and annuities. Farmers & Merchants Bancorp was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Lodi, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp reported revenue of $238M in FY2025 versus $180M in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was $93.6M in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$238M
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+5.1%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY21 $180M
FY22 $193M
FY23 $227M
FY24 $224M
FY25 $238M
Net income +9.0%/yr
FY21 $66.3M
FY22 $75.1M
FY23 $88.3M
FY24 $88.5M
FY25 $93.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FMCB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 54% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.81× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 39
FUTURE 32 · sector 44
PAST 60 · sector 41
HEALTH 99 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Farmers & Merchants Bancorp (FMCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1,758 versus a price of $1,380, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FMCB?
Our model-based fair value for Farmers & Merchants Bancorp is $1,758 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1,380.
What is the quality score of FMCB?
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Farmers & Merchants Bancorp (FMCB)?
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $238M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FMCB?
The net profit margin of Farmers & Merchants Bancorp is about 39.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Farmers & Merchants Bancorp pay a dividend?
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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