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FOSUN INTERNATIONAL (FNI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · DE · Market cap €8.3B

What is FOSUN INTERNATIONAL really worth?

FI FOSUN INTERNATIONAL FNI · BE
Price from Jul 17, 2026€0.4706
Fair Value€0.5500
Upside+16.9%
Quality43/100

Below-average quality, trading 14% below our fair value of €0.5500.

As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of FOSUN INTERNATIONAL is €0.5500 per share against a price of €0.4706, so the fair value sits 17% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range €0.2800 – €0.8200

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +7.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.2800 to €0.8200). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€0.8201 €0.4136 Fair Value €0.5500 May 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.4136 – €0.8201 · fair‑value band €0.2800 – €0.8200 · the €0.4706 price screens below the €0.5500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

FOSUN INTERNATIONAL (FNI) currently trades at €0.4706, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.5500, implying the stock looks roughly 14.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €4.53 per share, and 9 of the 11 models we run sit above the €0.4706 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €0.1600, and 2 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Net debt stands at €184B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.2800 (bear case) to €0.8200 (bull case); at €0.4706, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 17%, FNI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €4.97 €9.87 €17.03 77
Growth DCF €5.10 €9.42 €15.34 76
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.78 €6.49 €10.73 72
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €4.97 €9.87 €17.03 77
5Y Revenue Exit €0.3100 €1.87 €3.72 66
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.78 €6.49 €10.73 72
10Y Revenue Exit €1.91 €3.72 €5.92 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €3.51 €6.85 €11.14 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.1000 €0.2000 €0.3100 66
DDM Multi-Stage €0.1000 €0.1600 €0.2100 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €2.29 €4.53 €6.78 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.66 €3.57 €5.33 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €5.10 €9.42 €15.34 76
Rev-Margin DCF €0.3100 €2.02 €4.05 66

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€6.49) versus Dividend Discount (€0.1600). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

Net margin −13.5% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% avg 5y
Free cash flow €15.4B FY2025
Net debt €184B FY2025 · ≈ 12.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

There is no Profile data available for FNI.BE.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FOSUN INTERNATIONAL reported revenue of 173B CNY in FY2025 versus 161B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −23.4B CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€173B
Latest YoY
−9.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.0% (2020) → 2.5% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +1.8%/yr
FY21 161B CNY
FY22 182B CNY
FY23 198B CNY
FY24 192B CNY
FY25 173B CNY
Net income
FY21 10.1B CNY
FY22 −832M CNY
FY23 1.4B CNY
FY24 −4.3B CNY
FY25 −23.4B CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FOSUN INTERNATIONAL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FNI.BE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Metals & Mining · 29 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 50.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.32× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE56 · sector 15
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH34 · sector 98
DIVIDEND49 · sector 76

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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533047 533047 ₹1,398 ₹1,316 −6%
MARC MARC 0.7900 PHP 0.5300 PHP −33%
Tplex Co 081150 2,750 KRW 2,232 KRW −19%
MAB MAB 0.0087 PHP 0.0088 PHP +1%
Gyeongnam Steel Co 039240 1,932 KRW 3,114 KRW +61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is FOSUN INTERNATIONAL (FNI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.5500 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of €0.4706, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FNI?
Our model-based fair value for FOSUN INTERNATIONAL is €0.5500 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): €0.4706.
What is the quality score of FNI?
FOSUN INTERNATIONAL has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FOSUN INTERNATIONAL (FNI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.5500 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.2800, optimistic scenario €0.8200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FOSUN INTERNATIONAL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.5500, about +17% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of €0.4706 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €0.2800, optimistic scenario €0.8200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of FNI?
The net profit margin of FOSUN INTERNATIONAL is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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