PT Pelat Timah Nusantara Tbk (NIKL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 482B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 359.00 IDR to 180.36 IDR (−49.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.9% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (180.36 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 170.00 IDR – 1,364 IDR · the 200.00 IDR price screens above the 180.36 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Pelat Timah Nusantara Tbk (NIKL) currently trades at 200.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 180.36 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Pelat Timah Nusantara Tbk generated revenue of 138M IDR at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at 47.6M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -10%, NIKL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (180.36 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (90.18 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Pelat Timah Nusantara Tbk operates as a tinplate manufacturer in Indonesia. It operates in two segments, Coil and Sheet. The company offers tinplate products in the form of coils and sheets. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Pelat Timah Nusantara Tbk reported revenue of 138M IDR in FY2025 versus 211M IDR in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 961K IDR in FY2025, compounding −36.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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