LC Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · PH · Market cap 9.9B PHP
Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −0.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0300 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0600 PHP – 0.2550 PHP · fair‑value band 0.0200 PHP – 0.0300 PHP · the 0.1780 PHP price screens above the 0.0300 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
Analysis
LC (LC) currently trades at 0.1780 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0300 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 83.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Our scenario range runs from 0.0200 PHP (bear case) to 0.0300 PHP (bull case); at 0.1780 PHP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at -83%, LC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.0600 PHP) versus DCF Models (0.0100 PHP). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
LC reported revenue of 2.8B PHP in FY2024 versus 1.5B PHP in FY2020, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was 102M PHP in FY2024.
LC screens 83% overvalued. Compare with NIKL →
Peer Group
Metals & Mining · 24 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKL NIKL | 3.60 PHP | 6.68 PHP | +86% |
| PX PX | 7.08 PHP | 4.38 PHP | -38% |
| AT AT | 8.30 PHP | 26.74 PHP | +222% |
| LCB LCB | 0.1780 PHP | 0.0300 PHP | -83% |
| CPM CPM | 2.27 PHP | 0.6300 PHP | -72% |
| FNI FNI | 1.79 PHP | 2.71 PHP | +51% |
| MARC MARC | 0.6100 PHP | 0.4400 PHP | -28% |
| Tplex Co 081150 | 2,630 KRW | 2,240 KRW | -15% |
| PHN PHN | 15.86 PHP | 38.04 PHP | +140% |
| Gyeongnam Steel Co 039240 | 1,930 KRW | 3,150 KRW | +63% |
Compare LC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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