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Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co PHP 0.04, price PHP 0.24, upside -83.2%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · PH · ISIN PH5267322015

LC Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co

LC · PSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 0.0400 PHP · Strongly overvalued (−83%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.6% net margin (FY2024)
✓Low debt
✓Ranks above peers (7/9)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

0.2700 PHP 0.0600 PHP Fair Value 0.0400 PHP Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0600 PHP – 0.2700 PHP · fair‑value band 0.0300 PHP – 0.0500 PHP · the 0.2380 PHP price screens above the 0.0400 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Stock analysis

Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC) currently trades at 0.2380 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0400 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 494.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.0700 PHP per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 0.2380 PHP price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 0.0100 PHP, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0300 PHP (bear) to 0.0500 PHP (bull), the price of 0.2380 PHP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co reported revenue of 2.8B PHP in FY2024 versus 1.5B PHP in FY2020, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was 102M PHP in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap 15.8B PHP (≈ $251M) · EPS (TTM) −0.0167 PHP · Net margin 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −83%, LC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0100 PHP to 0.1600 PHP). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 0.0300 PHP Fair Value 0.0400 PHP Bull 0.0500 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings n/a 0.0100 PHP 0.0100 PHP 75
ROIC Compounder 0.0200 PHP 0.0300 PHP 0.0300 PHP 72
EPV 0.0200 PHP 0.0300 PHP 0.0300 PHP 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings n/a 0.0100 PHP 0.0100 PHP 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0200 PHP 0.0700 PHP 0.1000 PHP 64
Lynch FV 0.0200 PHP 0.0300 PHP 0.0400 PHP 61
PEG = 1.0 0.0200 PHP 0.0300 PHP 0.0400 PHP 57
EPV 0.0200 PHP 0.0300 PHP 0.0300 PHP 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0300 PHP 0.0400 PHP 0.0500 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 0.0300 PHP 0.0400 PHP 0.0500 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 0.0300 PHP 0.0400 PHP 0.0500 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 0.0400 PHP 0.0600 PHP 0.0700 PHP 66
EV/EBITDA 0.1200 PHP 0.1600 PHP 0.2000 PHP 67
EV/Revenue 0.0400 PHP 0.0500 PHP 0.0700 PHP 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0600 PHP 0.0700 PHP 0.1100 PHP 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.0700 PHP 0.0600 PHP 0.0400 PHP 71
ROIC Compounder 0.0200 PHP 0.0300 PHP 0.0300 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0300 PHP 0.0400 PHP 0.0500 PHP 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−48.5% (2019) → 6.5% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

LC screens 495% overvalued. Compare with NIKL →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metals & Mining · 30 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKL NIKL 4.20 PHP 3.28 PHP −22%
PX PX 12.70 PHP 4.38 PHP −66%
LCB LCB 0.2340 PHP 0.0400 PHP −83%
FNI FNI 2.13 PHP 2.71 PHP +27%
MARC MARC 0.7900 PHP 0.8600 PHP +9%
Tplex Co 081150 2,605 KRW 2,138 KRW −18%
MAB MAB 0.0088 PHP 0.0089 PHP +1%
Gyeongnam Steel Co 039240 1,891 KRW 3,174 KRW +68%
BCB BCB 7.50 PHP 13.32 PHP +78%
ORE ORE 0.5800 PHP 1.00 PHP +72%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LC

Frequently asked questions

Is Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0400 PHP versus a price of 0.2380 PHP, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LC?
Our model-based fair value for Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co is 0.0400 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2380 PHP.
What is the quality score of LC?
Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0400 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0300 PHP, optimistic scenario 0.0500 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0400 PHP, about −83% upside versus a price of 0.2380 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0300 PHP, optimistic scenario 0.0500 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co it is 0.0400 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.2380 PHP. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LC trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.2380 PHP, fair value 0.0400 PHP, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2380 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0400 PHP). For Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co the two are 0.1980 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co worth?
The market values Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co at about 15.8B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.2380 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0400 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LC?
Our models span a range for Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co: cautious scenario 0.0300 PHP, base 0.0400 PHP, optimistic 0.0500 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.2380 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LC from its 52-week high?
Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co trades at 0.2380 PHP, about 12% below its 52-week high of 0.2700 PHP and 44% above the low of 0.1650 PHP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0400 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value NIKL, PX, LCB, FNI, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.2380 PHP, calculated fair value 0.0400 PHP (−83%), Quality Score 51/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LC calculated?
We run Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0400 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.2380 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 0.0400 PHP, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0500 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
The market capitalisation of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co is 15.8B PHP (≈ $251M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
Earnings per share at Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co are −0.0167 PHP. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
The net margin of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co is 3.6% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co (LC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lepanto Consolidated Mining Co is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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