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Finance of America Companies Inc (FOA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $178M

FO Finance of America Companies Inc logo Finance of America Companies Inc FOA · US
Price$22.12
Fair Value$45.70
Upside+106.6%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $34.28 – $57.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $43.32 to $45.70 (+5.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −13.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 107% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($34.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$116.20 $4.50 Fair Value $45.70 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.50 – $116.20 · fair‑value band $34.28 – $57.13 · the $22.12 price screens below the $45.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Finance of America Companies Inc (FOA) currently trades at $22.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.70, implying the stock looks roughly 106.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Finance of America Companies Inc generated revenue of $452M at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue declined 27.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at $29.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $34.28 (bear case) to $57.13 (bull case); at $22.12, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 107%, FOA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $31.64 $36.37 $70.37 76
Gordon GGM $0.1500 $0.2600 $0.3300 70
P/E Multiple $49.60 $66.13 $82.67 63
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $34.59 $199.47 $277.45 54
Lynch FV $56.27 $80.38 $104.49 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1500 $0.2600 $0.3300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1500 $0.2400 $0.2800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $49.60 $66.13 $82.67 63
P/B Multiple $38.24 $50.99 $63.74 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.21 $24.40 $36.42 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $31.64 $36.37 $70.37 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($80.38) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $452M
Revenue growth (YoY) -27.5%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 15.6%
Free cash flow −$430M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.9
More key figures
Operating margin 13.1%
EPS (TTM) $2.26
EPS growth (YoY) -64.7%
Net debt $29.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Finance of America Companies Inc. a financial service holding company, through its subsidiaries, provides home equity-based financing solutions for a modern retirement in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Retirement Solutions and Portfolio Management.

Full company description

Finance of America Companies Inc. a financial service holding company, through its subsidiaries, provides home equity-based financing solutions for a modern retirement in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Retirement Solutions and Portfolio Management. It offers home equity conversion and non-agency reverse mortgage loans; and product development, loan securitization, loan sales, risk management, servicing oversight, and asset management services. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Finance of America Companies Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was $45.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.1B
Latest YoY
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY21 $1.7B
FY22 $687M
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $1.9B
FY25 $2.1B
Net income
FY21 −$1.2B
FY22 −$191M
FY23 −$80.1M
FY24 $15.5M
FY25 $45.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Finance of America Companies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FOA

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +107% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Below median
Revenue growth -28% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 89.48× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 45.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 62 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Finance of America Companies Inc (FOA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.70 versus a price of $22.12, about +107% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FOA?
Our model-based fair value for Finance of America Companies Inc is $45.70 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.12.
What is the quality score of FOA?
Finance of America Companies Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Finance of America Companies Inc (FOA)?
Finance of America Companies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $452M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FOA?
The net profit margin of Finance of America Companies Inc is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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