First Pacific Company (FPAFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.7B

A solid business, screening 106% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.04). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The model range is unusually wide ($4.04 to $10.66). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.07 – $4.28 · fair‑value band $4.04 – $10.66 · the $3.39 price screens below the $6.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

First Pacific Company (FPAFY) currently trades at $3.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.98, implying the stock looks roughly 105.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, First Pacific Company generated revenue of $10.2B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. Net debt stands at $8.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.04 (bear case) to $10.66 (bull case); at $3.39, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 106%, FPAFY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($19.77) versus Dividend Discount ($2.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

First Pacific Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the consumer food products, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources businesses in the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.

Full company description

First Pacific Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the consumer food products, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources businesses in the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company offers a range of telecommunications and digital services, including fiber-optic backbone, fixed-line, and cellular networks. It also manufactures and distributes consumer-branded goods and a range of food products, including noodles, dairy products, snack foods, food seasonings, nutrition and special foods, beverages, and products comprising wheat flour and pasta under the Bogasari brand. In addition, the company is involved in agribusiness activities, such as seed breeding; oil palm cultivation, milling, and the production of cooking oils, margarine, and shortening; as well as the cultivation and processing of sugar cane, rubber, and other crops. Further, it explores for, mines, and produces gold, copper, and silver. Additionally, the company is involved in the operation of gas-fired power plants; the provision of water distribution, sewerage, and sanitation services, as well as healthcare and real estate solutions; the operation of toll roads and light rail; and the distribution of electricity. First Pacific Company Limited was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

First Pacific Company reported revenue of $10.2B in FY2025 versus $9.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was $661M in FY2025, compounding +28.2%/yr from FY2021.

Watch FPAFY: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.